Monthly Archives: August 2010

Bank Holiday Tips

Well Everton did not do the business and so we were left with a 21% profit from the weekends selections.  4 horses to follow for Bank Holiday Monday to add some extra pleasure to those sunny bank holiday drinks. 

The dash at Epsom at 3.10 could go to sprint king Dandy Nicholls who runs City Dancer.  It needs to reverse form with a couple of runners but there is a good suggestion that it can.  11/2 is currently available with Skybet and I would take it.

There is a listed contest at Galway tonight (6.30) – I fancy the favourite, Adressee Unknown, to get beaten by either Rajik or Leo Gali.  My preference is for 4/1 shot Rajik to defy topweight – The once raced son of Daylami, Syann, is an interesting horse at 16/1 and couldn’t be completely ruled out for those that like a speculative each way punt.

Newcastles best race today (4pm) could we won by 7/1 shot Regimental for whom a repeat of the form which scored second last time out could be enough.  Chin N Tonic looked classy last time up and to be fair you can never get too stuck in on nursery races like this but Regimentals racecourse experience could make the difference.  My single malt is a Danehill Dancer progeny who has a 70% strike rate for places at Newcastle 15/2 appeals as each way value with Jamie Spencer cajouling it into contention.

It is a shame that the Godolphinh horse My Freedom does not race in the 3.35 2yo champion race at Ripon.  There are a couple of two years olds in this that have had very busy seasons and I fancy something unexposed but experienced to take it.  Mayson and Cocktail Charlie fit the profile of the likely winner for me but at 7/4 and 5/1, the latter makes most appeal.

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More Profit for The Major

Without considering the result of the Villa v Everton game, the Major has  returned a 21% profit this weekend. 

On track, Drunken Sailor and Poets Voice served us well and if Everton win later then the Major will have four out of four football bets come in including, both teams score (Arsenal at Blackburn 4/5), Berwick 17/10 and Millwal Evens.

This will be a 28/1 accumulator result!  Cmon the Toffees!

Saturdays Gambling Selections from The Major

LAST WEEKS PROFIT 72% (table of bets below*) – The Majors strong form continues (SOME TREMENDOUS VALUE TODAY) and unlike those dastardly bankers he takes not one jot for himself merely leading my crusade for merry adventurous punters across the land to put a blow across the old enemies cheek.  As in the bible, the turf accountant duly turns and allows us to have a pop at the other one too, marvelous.

The weather has perked up in sunny Pershore although the ground is dead and sodden which must be a consideration in our selections today.  Action aplenty and opportunities as ever…… Load the heavy cannons and let us plunder….

Firtsly on track.  A great card at Goodwood awaits and the 3.40 is a race where heart rules the head.  Date with Destiny is the sole progeny of the only racehorse that made me cry, the great George Washington.  After successfully backing George to win the 2,000 Guineas, I fell in love with the champion who had his own way of doing things.  That day he planted his feet and refused to enter the winning enclosure, a horse of his own mind but one who when on song demonstrated a trmendous turn of foot.  Retired at three as a classic winner, a lucrative stud career awaited (I am considering this option myself) but sadly, the pencil lead was not very effective and at 4 he went back into training.  I remember O’Brien saying he was having a hard time getting Georges mind back on racing after a winter covering some of the finest racehorses.  Tragedy struck in the states when at a sloppy Belmont Park, George collapsed and instantly died on course.  I have grown attached to many horses I have backed, some of far lesser quality than George but  none as personable. 

Date with Destiny, George Washintons only progeny runs in the 3.40 – Sadly for the promising looking filly, it carries my money; in respect of her sire.  Cochabamab at 10/1 is the ew head selection which will carry none of my cash.

Drunken Sailor in the 2.30 looks a good bet at 11/8 given the shaky opposition.  Who knows whether Golden Sword will ever recapture some of that younger form but the rest look shaky and anything greater than double your dough looks a good bet on this one.

What a dissapointment that the Celebration Mile, 3.05, only draws four entries – What is that about.  This Group 2 contest with £56k for the winner will see Main Aim go off as favourite.  On form and ground it is a worthy favourite but with Poets Voice an easy to back 15/8, I am tempted to see if it drifts to 2s or 9/4 before backing.  Frankie is the master of taming these small field events, get in front, slow them at the turn, steal 4 lengths at 2 and a half furlongs, see you in the winning enclosure!

The 3.20 at Newmarket is one of those where form is expected to be overturned.  In this case Bated Breath who was held by Dafeef is expected to overturn today in receipt of 3lbs.  I have to say that these scenarios always throw up great value.  People get carried away with the narrative of bad luck and reversing it today.  As such, Dafeef is appealing at 4/1.  More intruguing is Caledonia Princess at 40/1.  OK this is a step up in class entirely but this horse just completed the hat-trick and of Kyllachy is likely to be a significant improver at 4.

In the most valuable race of the day, there is a 1/2 favourite in Zebedee and it is notable that Richard Hughes goes to Newmarket, 3.55, instead of booking Goodwood rides.  However 12 two year olds, most handling soft for the first time and a 1/2 favourite makes this an each way race and not one to get stuck into the tasty looking good thing.  I like Child Bride at 16/1 – Paul Colehas his horses in good order and it intrigues me that this horse who did not handle the dips and turns of Bath last time out is styepped up in class by his trainer.

Now for the football.  The early kick off offers some value in opposing Arsenal simply because Sam Allardice loves bullying Wengers southern softies!  He did it last year and they will get more of the same today.  I like the both teams to score market with Paddy Power which is just under evens but I am not going to get excited by this one.

One I love is Evertons price to win at Villa.  Villa look in free fall and the players do not look enamered playing for the caretaker boss.  The 6-0 thumping and dropping out of Europe surely have taken a mental toll and 2/1 Everton to win is unbelievable value.  Surely in these circumstances the toffees would come away with three points more than 1 in 3 times?  My advice on the villa manager was given a little time ago.

Millwall at evens to beat Coventry is fair.  I fancied Coventry to get beaten at home by Derby last week and while they won, they were not the better team.  I think their position is false.  Marlon King joining the camp cannot  be a positive can it?  Not a massive bet for me but I like this Millwall team.

Berwick have scored ten goals in their last two outings so a win today at 17/10 is absurd pricing – Get stuck in!

Finally it is Challenge Cup Final day.  Leeds have beaten Warrington three times this year and to win today at 11/10 I think is a great price – Could be a great final – Have something on the Rhinos.

The nap is Everton 2/1 NAP NAP NAPPETY NAP NAP.

I wish you betting success and dearly hope that your bookmaker need close his doors while he visits his bank to complete your payout.  Let him know the Major sent you…… and we will return again!

By the way, the Major is running the Birmingham Half Marathon – Follow the link to follow the training.

Last Weeks Results*

Selection Odds Stake Returns
Titus Mills 8/1 NR NR
Captain Coke 9/4 £1.00 £0.00
Banimipire 11/2 £1.00 £6.50
Glor Na Mara Ev £1.00 £0.00
All Blacks -3 Ev £1.00 £2.00
Darlington 13/8 £1.00 £0.00
Stoke 5/2 £1.00 £0.00
Colchester 7/4 £1.00 £2.75
Burnley 11/10 £1.00 £2.10
East Stirling 5/4 £1.00 £2.20
Derby  9/4 £1.00 £0.00
Bolton 12/5 £1.00 £3.40
    £11.00 £18.95

21st August The Majors Betting Selections

Well another wonderful day of sport is upon us and the Major has the winning betting selections from track and pitch.  The Pershore rain has cleared and my mind has risen to a new plain of existence where it is decidely easier to select the winner of the Solario (Titus Mills 8/1!) – To be fair, it is probably the new herbal tea talking but I have high confidence today:

Firstly on track – Why you can get 9/4 about Captain Coke winning the 4.15 at Sandown is a mystery.  What does this progressive sort have to do to garner more respect – Fill your boots I have a feeling it will win again, perhaps cosily.

There is some terrific action at the Curragh with some classy two year old potential stars out.  I am following The Bolger / Manning combinations for a quick double with Banimpire 11/2 in the 3.55 and Glor Na Mara in the 4.25 Evens.

I hope some of you were on when I tipped up Glor na Mara two weeks ago at 25/1 as he finished a strong second and ahead of smart prospect Strong Suit.  I think that Zoffany form is rock solid and see no reason to oppose today as the team pursue more black type in this Grp 2 contest.

Banimpire holds a similar profile – Not excelling on debut but representing a good team who know how to bring their two year olds on.

At 4pm today, Sky Sports will show you the Springboks taking on the All Blacks who only need to finish within seven points to take the Tri Nations.  I seriously think they will do better than that and a stand out price of evens for the All Blacks to win with a marginal 3 point handicap (only with 888sport) is a superb price considering they are 8/13 generally in the straight market.

On the fertile football fields of Britain there are tasty prices aplenty.  Last weekends selections were a muddled bunch and I apologise for the NAP falling over.  However I see plenty more value today for those of faith.  Remember  Jesus loves you but he was never generous enough to point out the folly of the enemies pricing strategy about Darlingtons trip to Kettering in the conference.  Darlington have enough quality retained in their relegated team to break down an average Kettering team and therefore 13/8 is a super bet.

I know I will not be the only one to also plunder Stoke at 5/2.  Spurs shipped three in mid week and look frail at the back.  This was a costly game with Modric, Keane, Pavvy and Defoe all needing the treatment room and likely to miss on todays Pottery excursion.  Kenwynne Jones could make a big home debut if recovering from injury.

Colchester and Rochdale have both drawn their starts this year but of the two I like the shape of Colchesters form the better.  7/4 to win at the Dale is honest.

Burnley should beat Leicester and 11/10 is not bad but i’m not overly excited by it.  East Stirling are sensational at 5/4 at Elgin – I would have them odds on so that can go into your multimples with confidence.

Two other away teams to note are Derby who I tipped up in the fantastic five run sequence on the opening weekend.  Since then they have narrowly lost at Cardiff but played respectably well.  Todays trip to Coventry looks easier.  While the sky blues have taken 4 pts from their opening two fixtures, it required some lucky turns of fortune, I think 9/4 (£100 returns £325!) represents fine fine value.

Finally West Ham looked appaling on their opening day defeat at Villa Park.  With Owen Coyle having his Bolton team well organised, I think the 12/5 on offer for Bolton to come out of London with a win is dismissive.  Get stuck in.

Taking Bolton, Stoke, Darlington and Captain Coke in a lucky 15 could be your ticket to this evenings fine cuisine washed down with a strong Barolo followed outdoors with some of Cubas finest tobacco products accompanied by beautiful french brandy.

Imposters: Triumph and Disaster

Well the rain has been persistent in Pershore this morning and my bowl of coffee was warming as I pleasantly selected the days winners in the calming serenity of the conservatory.  There is so much sport today, god bless himself for creating such  magnificent world where men compete for our pleasure.

Last weeks unbelievable run of five from five footie bets at a shortest 15/8 accumulated to 340/1 – KABOOM!  Kipling was right though, gamblers like me learn more from losing than the judgement clouding victorious runs.  My aim is to make a 20% return on investment. That would be true success – Yes there is the occassional mothership run but the reality is that hard work will grind the success out….. and discipline. 

So it is back to small stakes today as we watch and learn from the opening salvos of the EPL.

My fancies are many.  I do not think Man City will have their act together and think Mancini could be the best bet of first Prem League manager to go (25/1), I see absoultely no strategy and simply spending for spendings sake – Thus Tottenham at 13/10 represents a good opening day bet as I would expect Harry to maintain a strict defense which made White Hart Lane one of the trickiest venues last term.

Torquay are outstanding as a bet to win at Lincoln.  This is a young ambitious Torquay team and at 7/4, fill thy boots.  Oldham are a winner as well in my book at home today where 13/10 makes tasty gambling. 

With Falkirk suffering suspensions and a depressing start to the campaign, surely Ross at 7/5 is a marvelous price.  Wigan at 5/6 to conquer Blackpool at home is a funny bet – Wigan are a better team and have home advantage, the factors against are Holloways mental boost to the seasiders, I would still take the Wigan price as the team is well run and I think will be prepared to roll up their sleeves and welcome Blackpool to the prem with a good botty slapping.  Finally Sunderland to beat Birmingham at 5/4 is a super price, seriously £40 to return £90 – I think Birmingham will struggle this term and Sunderland look a stronger outfit for me.

Over in Espana, it is Super Cup day – You can see how seriously it is taken that Barca are resting all of their world cup stars – This means a seriously depleted squad although I would take their youth team at West Brom!! On reflection though 23/10 for Sevilla given the unpredictable outcome is magnificent pricing.

Essex have a great shout at winning the 20/20 so 3/1 is a lovely price for those who are that way inclined.

Now to the track where heroes are made and equine form puzzles even the most dedicated plotter.

1.45 Newmarket – Obviously Signs in the Sand has a lot going for it – Form in the book and a decent pedigree but I am not wholly convinced it should be as short as it is.  Dictionary is a very interesting debutante – Out of a first season sire, the record so far is 8 runners, 5 placed and 3 winners.  However, only 4 of those runs from the crop were on soft and they read 4 runners, no winners, 1 place.  SIIS should win but as it is 50/1  shall take a slice of New Jeeran who ran to bad to be true on debut.

2.00 Newbury – What a bet.  Zaidan was impressive at Royal Ascot and that surely is the best on offer here.  OK in a small field of unexposed 2 year olds, there could be a star in here and the maiden wins of a couple of these point to serious horses.  However, I think Sensei will be a typical Dr Fong horse and be better at 3 than 2 while the clearly well fancied Khan has plenty to prove to show he is a Zaidan quality horse – 7/4 and drifting.  Hold your nerve, wait for 9/4 and HAVE IT!! I think the drift is rain connected by why they think Khan is a better animal than Zaidain with a bit more cut I am unsure – Form doesn’t say so and neither does breeding.

2.15 Newmarket – Kalk Bay is unexposed and evidently talented.  However I cannot believe Dahaam is 6/1 given I think he has the best form in the book.

3.20 Newmarket – I like two at prices here with Captain Coke and Bayamoko catching the eye.  Cosgrove and Atzeni take the rides which helps keep the price honest.  Bayamoko particularly is of interest as I think it is the best horse in the race and will have something like ideal conditions.

So, take your Kukri Knife to that bookmakers satchel and slice its burgeoning belly spilling treasures unimaginable onto the floor.  Collect and prosper, if last weekend was steak dinners all round then this evening we shall dine on fine Arabic food with dancing girls, merriment and some of the finest liquor.