Monthly Archives: December 2010

Tips to earn some bonus January Sales Cash! 50% profits yesterday

Cheltenham, but last year...

When Beautiful Sounds comes in, mines a Brandy

A good day for the Major yesterday thanks to the 11/2 winning price of Blackpool to win at Sunderland.

Today, the tea is hot, the thinking cap has been on again and we shall look for some more sports bets to add to the kitty.

Big Zeb runs at Leopardstown where their excellent Christmas Festival rolls on.  In the UK, Bib Bucks looks to maintain his premier status at Newbury.

Lets take the Irish stuff first….

The 12.50 at Leopardstown is a five runner event with a red hot favourite in Zaidpour.   The £52k win pot and Grade 1 status of this novice hurdle has hardly attracted a huge field of class but Zaidpour is a worthy favourite and a potential star.  However, the Major likes to dig and it is interesting that the Sire Red Ransom went on heavy 11 times and only managed a place once.  Neither the favourite or Hidden Cyclone are tested on heavy and neither suggest they want it on breeding although both have won on soft.  Perfect Smile has 13 lengths to find on the favourite but looks another on the rise – An ew bet would be the advice but the Major will not have an interest.

In the 1.20 we have champion chase winner Big Zeb versus Captain Cee Bee and Golden Silver.  I cannot believe J’y Vole will run again after putting in 3 miles on heavy yesterday, what does Mullins expect!  Captain Cee Bee (100% record on Heavy) is the bet for the Major.  Big Zeb is not a star in my eyes, just happened to win a poor champion chase.  4/1 with Corals, have a slice.

The 1.55 is a superb smash up between the High potential of Hurricane Fly and the established form of Solwhit.  I think both of these are capable champion hurdle winners and the Major holds a 20/1 ticket on Hurricane Fly ante post for the Champion.  While I would love to see the Fly win, I suspect conditions favour Solwhit who at 2/1 is the better bet today.  I would have a bet on Solwhit to win and wait and see the impact on the Champion Hurdle market if it goes that way.  If the Fly went double digits again then I would have some of that!

Now the reserve has made it into the 2.30 Paddy Power chase at Leopardstown I would have a slice.  Beautiful Sound is a fascinating runner who returned from a lengthy injury to take a Punchestown novice impressively.  You can still get 8/1 with Sporting bet but get it fast because the Major smells a gamble.   It is always interesting when a reserve of this make up gets into the race.  Dancing Hero is another that caught the eye – 33/1 is available….. you know what to do.

The Challow is run today at 2.10 at Newbury and this gave the Major a headache in trying to solve it.  To keep it simple, I think For Non Stop is the likely winner at 4/1.

The other Grade 1 at Newbury will be won by Big Bucks.  Not sure what you bet on if you want value, personally I would dodge it.

You can just about get odds against on Forest beating Derby tonight at home in their derby and I would definitely take a strong bet on that.

As ever, the Major wishes all the best of luck no matter which animals or teams you back.  Anyone who takes an opinion and makes a bet is a friend of the Major, particularly those willing to risk that bit more!

Yesterdays Results Below

Bet Result
Cooldine to win the Lexus £0.00
Thegreatjohnbrowne to win £0.00
MK Dons to win £2.50
Stoke to Beat Fulham £0.00
Everton to win at West Ham £0.00
Blackpool to win at Sunderland £6.50
Advertisements

On the 4th Day of Christmas, the Major gave to me….

Leopardstown Racecourse Category:County Dublin

Cooldine to win at Leopardstown - Wait for 9/2

Two bets yielded no results yesterday and a lesson for the Major.  The emirates game was clearly not enough to inspire a change in the mental well being of the Chelsea ranks who were outplayed for the whole game and deserved losers.  Positivity did not disgrace us at Southwell but finished 4th, one place out of the money…. we shall go back today in a much richer target environment. 

RACING IS BACK!!! PROPER RACING.  Leopardstown hosts a card of top quality racing including the Grade 1 Lexus Chase

Although racing goes ahead at Leopardstown, there was an inspection to ensure the frost was out and to look at the state of the ground.   It is heavy and Leopardstown is like Chepstow, conditions tend to be at the end of the spectrum, this will be very heavy and we need proven horses in the ground and horses that will make the trip. 

The Lexus goes off at 2.35 giving us 4 races to look at to see if the thinking holds up.

Having read the Pricewise views, I have to say that I cannot understand why he thinks so many of the market leaders will be inconvenienced by the heavy ground.  The stats suggest that J’y Vole, Joncol, Cooldine and Pandorama will all enjoy the mud.  His selection Money Trix, which will be crashing in price as I type is the one I feel may well be put off by it.  The Major is no Pricewise but today I feel he will have done me a big favour as more often than not I agree with his basic premise even if our selections are different.

I want to keep this simple, J’y Vole and Cooldine are the two I think have the ability and will enjoy the conditions.  They are both trained by the great man Mullins who is in decent touch (9 places from last 16 runners).

I think Cooldine is probably the one Mullins wants to win it with.  The services of Paul Townend are up top, I think Cooldine will stay 3m in the heavy and that the opposition is good but not that good.  Having two from the same stable as the ones you fancy can be difficult and we need to watch the markets carefully but Davy Condonholds a strikerate of 6% riding for Mullins where Townend is 21% – I fancy Cooldine is the player and 4/1 is available, have a slice but maybe wait and see what happens to the price first, I think he might touch 9/2 and for a fifty pound stake that pays a further £25.

Thegreatjohnbrowne looks a transformed horse now going over the bigger obstacles and I did not expect there to be prices of 11/4 (sportingbet) today – I recommend a healthy investment on this one who just keeps improving over the larger obstacles.  He won’t be inconvenienced by conditions either.

On the football pitches, I would take a few bets today – Stoke to beat Fulham being the first.  The Cottagers looked woefully short of ideas against West Ham and they are looking a tired outfit.  Murphys best days are well behind him and Duff while able to produce the occasional piece of skill is certainly no consistent threat.  Corals are evens which is a bonus price, have some.

There is a touch of 11/2 that Blackpool can win at Sunderland and I like that.  I would expect Sunderland to have enough to beat them but after all, they have two ways of playing.  Blackpool fear noone, including Sunderlands strong home record – At 11/2 I am siding with the sea siders.

At the risk of painfully putting good money after bad, I suggest Everton to win at West Ham is an 11/8 steal.  West Ham are still poor in my view, it just so happened that Fulham were poorer.  They won’t enjoy the soft defending that Fulham offered and Cahill, Arteta, Saha and co can cause problems.

Bournemouth have sold their two key strikers and don’t look the same outfit that have been performing so well in League One – 6/4 that MK Dons win on the South Coast is worth a touch.

May your bets be blessed with sweet success and the wedge you take from the enemy pay for your extravagant New Year Plans.  Don’t say this is the Majors comeback….. he was never gone!

Boxing Day Profits (13%) – Christmas Mondays Gambling Advice

The stands, Southwell Racecourse.

Positivity is the key at Southwell - The Major wants Christmas to just keep on giving!

Boxing Day was back to profit for the Major who advised 4 bets to a modest 13% profit.  Things would have been a lot sweeter if Leeds had held on (advised at 3/1).  This was a great bet and we almost took some very sweet profits.

Equally if you followed the non advised bet of Van der Vaart to score first at 6/1 you would have enjoyed a superb Boxing Day betting spree.

Attention turns to Mondays sports.

We have racing.  OK, the Southwell card is no King George card at Kempton which has been abandoned until mid January – However, racing is racing and there must be some value in there somewhere.

The Major was disappointed that the King George can’t be moved to Cheltenham for New Years Day when the Major will be in attendance.   It cannot be done though as the courses are just too different, alas.

Southwell always attracts some pretty poor types and course form is a big betting indicator.  So is draw.  Put simply, if you don’t go on deep ground, Southwell is not the place for you.  It is a great place for front running types as the kickback can cause problems for those in behind.  Let us take those elements and fashion a raid….

The 2.25 seeems to be the race to apply these established factors to.  The 1 mile start still gives horses a chance to claim an inside plum position, where little change of placing will occur until the home straight.  A front running type given an inside draw will be there at the turn and in behind you will have horses having to cope with the sand being thrown up, holding on in the straight becomes easier… Can we find the likely type?

Ellison and Smart are trainers that like to bring out winners at Southwell.  They run Chicken Dauwe and Positivity.  Ellison is in a decent run – The last 15 runs have wielded 9 places and 4 wins.  Drawn 12 though and although a versatile runner it would have to expend a lot of energy getting to the near side for the bend, fibresand debutante too – Best watched.

Smart has only sent a couple of runners out in recent weeks but they have reaped 2 wins from 5 starts.  Positivity has a plum draw in 4 and a 7lb claimer on board who won both of Smarts starters both of which were at Southwell on the 21st!!  Its a concern that the usual headgear is missing and the break before racing is considerable – last run for Positivity was in April but Smart can have one ready – Money for the horse would be a good sign.

Bentley has two ways of running and is a type that is unlikely to carry the Majors wedge.  That said, on a going day he would be a danger.

Exopuntia is an interesting sort.  It enjoys a fantastic draw and 7lb penalty for the latest course and distance win is probably not enough to stop it being involved again – A worthy favourite and at 10/3, the Major would not put you off.

Masteeat at the bottom of the weights is an interesting outsider with Catlin a great rider on the surface and stall 5 not an issue – If the horse takes to the new surface (a big if) then it might be worth a tickle at 25s (probably 50 on the exchange!)

Overall the advice is to get stuck into Positivity at 14/1 with Paddy Power with a saver on the favourite and a reverse forecast on the tote. 

What great pleasure can be taken from the action in the Ashes.  It is so nice to see Ponting so wound up – Controversial decisions from the umpiring team but they got it spot on – I can feel the captaincy slipping from his grasp which will concern him far more than the fine he will receive for his poor behaviour. 

Arsenal versus Chelsea provides a fine Christmassy sporting treat.  Neither side can claim to be in tip top form but there is a real straight value bet in this.  Without doubt Chelsea hit a terrible stretch of form which goes back to the decision to release Ray Wilkins.  The basic machinery is still intact though and I think a televised game against the Gunners is an ideal opportunity for them to get back to their best.

It is well known that Arsenal are poor against the best teams having not recorded a win against Man United or Chelsea in their last eleven.  The essential flaw is obvious to Arsenal fans, a lack of spine.  Fabregas and co are technically gifted but the balance in the team is not right and most gunners fans are adamant that the team needs a strong centre half and a central midfielder who can dominate the middle, as well as a goalkeeper.  If there is one thing that we have learned in recent years it is that Wenger will stubbornly stick to his hand.  The Majors view is that while a genius and a key part in running what is generally accepted as the best set up in the country, he has this wrong (I do not advocate that Wenger should splash the cash more that he should just buy some different sorts to balance the team).

Chelsea are 15/8 with Stan James and Corals and I suggest you get after them.  Load the big cannons and thank the Major later.Unibet go 16s on Chelsea 2-0, Red32 go 44/1 on 3-0, wow – Have a slice of both. 

May our Christmas run go on and may we close 2010 with the enemies notes in our online wallets.  May your Bank Holiday Monday be brightened by a pleasant brandy over ice.  We shall return tomorrow.

Yesterdays Advices:

Bet Result
0-0 Half Time Fulham v West Ham £0.00
QPR Win £2.15
Spurs to win at Villa £2.38
Leeds to win £0.00

Christmas With the Major – Gifts Aplenty

Fulham's crest since 2000

0-0 Half Time - Happy Birthday Jesus

The Major wishes every single follower the most merry of Chrsitmas times and thanks all of his loyal followers for their unwavering commitment to cause serious damage the the Ladbrookes share price. 

The Major is devastated that the Kempton card has been postponed – Along with the cancellation of the Wolverhampton card it leaves us with no festive racing.  Fingers crossed tomorrow at Kempton goes ahead.

The weather is set to clear a little giving hope for the meetings later in the week.  Since the Major is attending Cheltenham on New Years Day, selfish hopes are that the Christmas Hurdlke and King George are moved to Prestbury Park…… that would be a present.  even Wolverhamptons all weather card has been abandoned which is a shame as the Major had a winner lined up!

There is however plenty of sporting action that does play on.  What an overnight Ashes result.  The Aussies all out for under a ton and Strauss and Cook batting the day out, wow – this could have gone either way.  England are 9/2 on to retain the Ashes which is astonishing really.  What other bank would give you a 22% return on investment in a couple of weeks!!!  The Aussies cannot turn this around, they are a spent force.

On the frozen football fields of Britain, there is plenty that gets the go ahead.

Its a tough call at Fulham – 10/11 is probably about right for them to win at home to West Ham.  West Hams revival has been shallow and the camp cannot be in good spirit.  Rumour abounds that Grants time is coming and 2/5 is the price that he is the next fired.  The Major would consider the Fulham win the bet to be on but cannot advise a bet as nil nil is a possible as Fulham are also pretty poor.  The bet I will advise strongly is nil nil at half time.  9/5 is available with Unibet.

Stoke are not as good an away team as at home at the Blackburn price reflects their opponents ability to take three points out of Lancashire – No bet advised.

Blackpool is set for an inspection and no matter how much they would like their Liverpool game to be on, the Major thinks otherwise. 

Everton have turned a corner, that is the Majors view.  Birmingham have been pretty poor this season, they find themselves just two points ahead of the relegation spots.  They were second best to a poor Wolves side last time out and I don’t think a trip to Goodison is going to help.  The problem in the markets is how to get the right bet.  I think the major has it.  Blues have scored 17 all season.  They drew blanks away at Villa, Man City and Wolves.  Thats 3 blanks from 9 away games.  6/4 is the price for Everton to win to nil, stick a small interest on.

Noone in the top 8 in the Championship has lost as many away from home as Swansea.  5 losses from 11 is not automatic promotion material.  QPR look OK value to the Major at 23/20 with Victor Chandler, have a slice.

Spurs can beat Villa – Ashley Young is a doubt and he is a key player for the Claret and Blue.  Van der Vaart returning…. the early season value that the Major plundered about his first goalscorer prices has all gone.  9/1 is a distant dream and 6/1 today, no fun at all!!

Leeds have gone second and are a right tasty price to win at Leicester.  Leicester lost 3-0 to Ipswich last time out although that was on the back of a 5-1 thumping they dished out.  Leeds come into this on the back of three wins, Leicester have taken one win from their last three games.  How Leeds are priced 3/1 is a bit of a mystery.  A definite case of the Sven factor falsifying the market.  Victor Chandler or Bet365 for your monies.

May your Christmas bets be blessed with the good fortune you deserve.  May you strike at the enemy causing pain and suffering to the devious one.

The NAP is 0-0 half time Fulham score…….. Unibet bless you.

Come on A P McCoy

Sports personality of the year tonight and the major goes and thinks ap will take the prize…

No horseracing connection has ever taken the title but this year with the support of the whole racing industry, the major is backing McCoy all the way