Good evening fair punters of Britain. Following a stunning Saturday service of profits, January finished on a high. While I have not yet updated the top tabs with Sundays advices, the months profits will be close
Let us see if we can get February off to a flyer with a monster piece of value for the Major, running at Taunton in the 3.50 tomorrow.
Taunton is a course I must visit at some point. It looks pretty and although it doesn’t have particularly key races, their prize money seems to be on the better side for their grade of races. They have decent competitive races and this is a good example with several top trainers sending some interesting sorts.
Timmy Murphy gets one of his rare rides for champion trainer Paul Nicholls as part of his retained service arrangement with David Johnson, on Teshali. This is a hugely interesting horse now handicapping following three pretty poor novice events, it really smells of being a plot horse. The horse had excellent flat form winning multiple times in France and in all probability a lot more can be expected. 11/2 with Victor Chandler. Suspicious looking money would be a huge clue!
Tenor Nivernais is currently 4/1 and goes for Venetia Williams. Again a nice flat horse this one showed more on debut in Britain and probably has more to offer.
An interesting sort is Babilu who is currently a huge 25/1. There are a lot of interesting things about this one. It seems to have had a hurdling career of two parts. In the second it seems to have been a lot better too. Lean Burn who was beaten by this one earlier in the season looked to have boosted that form subsequently. Probably very vulnerable to something more tasty in this race, you cannot help but view this one as interesting. Especially as Babilu won its only race at Taunton.
Headgear might help Ocean Transit but not for the Major. Troubletimestwo is dropping to a more feasible mark but is best watched. Via Galilei for the Moore family is worth a sniff with Joshuas 7lb claim. Picot de Say could surprise a few but 33/1 reflects the training performance required to have it ready to go to win this off a massive break.
Very interesting is Karky Schultz who has the services of Paddy Brennan booked for a second ride since seemingly returning to a better vein of form at Kempton. Perhaps connections are expecting another decent outing.
Simply Blue has had problems but another interesting sort if you go back to the Wincanton win in October 09. The thing I am probably put off by is that the Alan King and Jonjo trained second and third that day hardly went on to greater things. 25/1 is fair but I would rather take Balibu.
Two good runs in a row is likely to be too much of an ask for Kings Revenge. My Shamwari is dropping to a more realistic level of racing but does not inspire confidence.
Henry King is looking for a second course success and probably won’t hang around. This field is surely too good to let him slip the net though and 7/1 seems poor value for this one.
Sir Frank is well bred and has a fantastic novice strike rate even if it does expose his true form. 7/1 you will get an honest race, it is just not the likely winner for the Major.
Causeway King is not for the Major either, doubtful it will feature.
So having run the rule over the field and having eliminated some and found value in others, it is time to decide where to drop the pin.
Some people think that horseracing is an unfair gambling sport because trainers often know far more than we do about a horses readiness. Sometimes this is what levels the game up.
Tomorrow I take a chance that 11/2 Teshali is a handicap good thing. It will either win on the bridle or be tailed off half a mile from home. At the price, we can afford to find out! For those who like a right price, Babilu (ancient variant of Babylon) is taken to outrun 25s. Teshali for the Major.