Well the Major has had a poor run but it comes to an end tomorrow with one of the best value bets I have seen in a while. The recent run of poor form was eased last night when the second half of the Stoke, West Ham double came in. That has restored profit levels to 11% for the month, below expectation but still respectable.
Well done to Le Grand Fromage, his top wicket taker bet advised at 40s (Mitchell Johnson) – After a four wicket haul for the Aussies in the opening game, dreams of 40/1 are long gone and 12s is now your best price, keep on rolling Mitch.
So where is the value tomorrow…
Fairyhouse – Bobbyjo Chase – The Midnight Club – 15/8 Hills
The Midnight Club runs in the Bobbyjo (3.45 Fairyhouse) in what looks like a warm up for the Grand National.
The horse is a 16/1 shot best price for the marathon Aintree trip and after tomorrow I suspect it will go favourite. It is the horse Mullins seems to targeting the nations favourite race with and as a profile horse is interesting.
Two years ago The Midnight Club finished a 3l third to Weapons Amnesty at the festival. That form was mustard but when sent chasing three initial runs looked pretty poor – The penny seemed to drop though when finishing second to Kempes (recent Irish Hennessy winner) in April 2010. A significant break was over when The Midnight Club made a return to action 3 weeks ago. Finishing close up to Siegemaster in the Thyestes was great form following a 9 month break and considering the horse belted a fence a third of the way through, it was impressive.
The only risk tomorrow in the Majors view is the bounce factor which is a largely superstitious risk anyway!
If you fancy The Midnight Club for the Aintree showpiece, this would be the time to back it. The Major would not take 16s now or even following the good win I expect tomorrow. I am not sure it is the right horse for the Grand National.
I do however expect the horse to put these away tomorrow and show it is progressive over fences still, even at 10.
Albert Bartlett Antepost Tip – 33/1 Moonlight Drive
A couple of sources often drop the Major noises about fancied horses. It is not often that the information makes it to the blog. This is mainly because I like it to be my own work (with the exception of recent guest posts). It is also worth noting that the strike rate of such information is mixed. Rarely is the information completely wrong but there is a many a slip between the crouch and the leap.
However, a piece of information was proffered to the Major today as an antepost tip for the Albert Bartlett at the festival.
With the sources permission, I post it here…
Moonlight Drive is the selection at 33/1 in places (Boylesports / Victor Chandler) and is a hugely fancied horse apparently at home. This is a horse that is in the same stable as Recession Proof who would be a fine yardstick. The antepost price has already trimmed in from an original 66/1.
Bobs Worth and Oscars Well are not certain to go in the Albert Bartlett as they have Neptune entries too. Court in Motion has blown his lines and overall the Albert Bartlett looks open enough.
Take an each way piece of the action.