Daily Archives: July 20, 2011

Thursday Double – Doncaster and Sandown… 11/4 and 5/1

There are some fair races tomorrow including a tasty double group 3 card from Leopardstown, a couple of decent handicaps at Epsom and Doncaster and a listed contest at Sandown.

It is the Sandown and Doncaster cards that catch the eye and there is a tasty double on which the Major will wage an amount able to bring vigour to the weekends frivolities…

3.20 Sandown Listed Fillies Race

Sandown’s soft ground makes this fillies contest for juveniles an interesting little puzzle.

Arsaadi finished a few lengths down to Kinetica in a warm looking all weather maiden and is being strongly backed to go better here in this listed contest.  With Kieran Fallon taking over, clearly a lot is expected.

Pink Sapphire looked to be going the right way until the Ascot flop.  Plenty of horses get over that though.  At the end of the day, running at Sandown versus the atmosphere of Ascot (on her second start) could see her in a better light.  12/1 is not bad but it is not my idea of the winner.

Hawfinch has some of the best form on offer but looks just shy of being good enough for the Major.  Vassaria looks interesting at 14/1 but I am not convinced on the form lines.

The two I cannot get away from are Show Flower, 10/1 and Kinetica, 5/1.

The first shaped fine on debut and is bound to improve; this yard rarely has them fired up first time out.  Sharmadal fillies won’t mind these conditions and a Group One entry shows some confidence in this juvenile.  Respected.

My idea of the winner though and the first leg of the advised Friday double is Kinetica.  The Chester win has hardly been boosted with the form, mixed at best but the maiden in which in which it relegated Alsaadi to 4th in looked half decent.  Prescott’s horses are in fine fettle and I am sure this one will enjoy getting her toe in.  Shabash!

7.55 Doncaster Fillies Handicap

This handicap really does look likely to boil down to the top two in the market. 

Gracefield would have to surprise the Major to become involved. 

Wallis was one of three horses to get out of the pack when finishing third last time out.  Fallon rode her in three consecutive wins and up just two pounds she seems bound to run a race that puts her in the picture.  OK, two of the wins were on the all-weather and the third last time out is uncertain to be improvement.  Up 2lbs for that result, which was a hotter race, it leaves her a little vulnerable but only Gladys Gal looks a sort with any potential to improve beyond. 

Gladys Gal though has form only on the all-weather.  Although already short in the market, I suspect she might be a little flattered by the fact that her last time out performance had two subsequent winners filling the spaces.  On the surface that sounds good, but they have only won some pretty poor contests, the form is invalidated in the Majors controversial view. 

Push comes to shove, Fallon or Atzeni?  Sorry, Fallon, say what you will, he is one of the strongest around.  11/4, have a slice and send me the postcard.

£20 double = £450 returns.