Daily Archives: July 24, 2011

Day One Galway / Goodwood Festival Tips Posts….

This week, the Major is planning on making a bit of effort and posting as much as possible given the dual festival bonanza that gives us a feast of racing and punting opportunities.

Rebecca Curtis – All lovely and horsey – Could she make us happy with a Praxiteles 8/1 win?

It might only be a couple of selections but I will highlight the bits of value I am going to follow and not see if we cannot turn a profit from Glorious Goodwood or the Galway Weld love in.

My dream is one day to have the time and resources to visit every racecourse in Britain, Ireland and France in a year and record it on the Major.  Of all the courses on that trail, Galway is one I am most looking forward to.  The Galway festival strikes me as being as close to horse racing heaven as possible.  There is quality but it is not world class, yet the atmosphere as it comes across on TV, the mix of flat and jumps, the party nature and the sheer relentlessness of the racing leaves it top of my visit list.

6.45 Galway – 2m Handicap

It is the feature race of the opening evening card at Galway and the Major is tackling it full on.

Dermot Weld has the favourite which is utterly no surprise as no other horse racing festival in the world is targeted so completely by any trainer as Galway and Dermot Weld.

His runner Natural High won at Lingfield on his only start this season and looks the likeliest sort.  He had a couple of these behind that day and despite some changes in the weights, none look likely to pass him on these revised terms.  In a field of 23, 4/1 is plenty short enough but if you fancy it, take it now as it will shorten almost certainly.

The key danger is Praxiteles sent over by Rebecca Curtis (surely the most attractive trainer!), this one won in such style at Ffos Las – It looked za struggle to hold onto him and when let go, he applied the appropriate boosters to get his head in front, dangerously well handicapped.  He achieved that by racing most of his career over hurdles – Of good interest off a tasty 8/1 with his trainer in top form.

Silk Hall would be of a little more interest with rain.

Having looked at the runners, the Major is boring enough to suggest that the top two in the market are the ones to follow.

Normally I would not hesitate in suggesting Praxiteles as the better value but this is a hard call with Welds record adding a lot to the credit ledger of Natural High.

I have settled on this staking plan….

Natural High 2pts

Praxiteles 1pt

Reverse Forecast 0.5pts

Not the most original selections I know but originality can play second string to profitability any day in the Majors world!

Kaboom – Three Saturday Advices return… 7/1 win, 7/1 win, 7/4 lost!! Sunday Ascot Handicap Tips

KABOOOOOOOOMMMM!  The Saturday Service selections, under the influence of the previous night intoxication returned some marvelous results finishing off a strong week….

Angels will fall led the way for the Major overturning the more fancied maiden winners to land the group listed Princess.

Then for the main show, as suspected, Workforce who I believe to still be the best middle distancer on the planet (bar possibly Pour Moi) could not catch Nathaniel who landed the second of the Majors advices at 7/1.  Some nonsense was spouted that Workforce cannot race as well right handed – This is absurd, he won last years Arc for goodness sake!  He gave 10lbs and lost the King George off an early strolling pace and this was the doing of him.

Godolphin it seems decided to use their pacemaker unconventionally, William Buick was wise to it though and sent his mount on earlier than others to take the running up and could not be tagged back.  Workforce needs a strong gallop, I maintain that small tactical fields are not his thing.

The tragic breakdown of Rewilding in the home straight with a broken leg marred the day.  Going wrong so violently and quickly was bad but he got up to run in front of the stands before being put to sleep by the vet.  John Gosden the winning trainer spoke magnificently about the situation, well done sir.

A sunday tip…

3.25 Ascot Handicap

Sadly the listed Pontefract race is down to 4 runners, probably as Cityscape whose Royal Ascot form is good, has frightened them off, the Major therefore is looking for value in this Ascot handicap.

The 13/8 favourite is an obvious place to start.  The Godolphin Burj Nahar beat the useful Zain Shamardal convincingly last time out and although top weight, a rating of 102 might still be very light.  Bin Suroor is in top form.

Kiama Bay and Warlu Way both have claims but bottom line, the Major thinks the Godolphin animal is way superior.

Keep it simple, 13/8… lovely!