Daily Archives: November 7, 2011

Tuesday 1.50 Huntingdon – Novice Handicap Chase Tip

Huntingdon host a decent couple of novices on ground that is still good on Tuesday and the Major is attracted to the 1.50pm where a reasonable priced runner has caught the eye.

Starting at the top of the card and coming down, the Major reads it like so..

I’ve Been Framed – Top weight and a first ride for Jamie Moore for the stable.  He has been coming down the handicap but breeding and form suggest proper jumping ground is required.  Not considered.

Traffic Chaos – Three novice hurdle efforts seemed to show zero form but then a maiden hurdle win on good on the fourth outing under rules suggested otherwise.  On chase debut last time, he mis-timed plenty of leaps, Charlie Mann will have had to have worked some serious jumping magic to make him a contender…That said it is a possibility and good ground seems to be the right surface.

Only Witness – Looks on a plenty high enough mark and on a couple of recent chase starts he has jumped poorly… nah

Overnight Fame – Tom George took a prestigious jumps race in France at the weekend but his UK runners have not started the season in too great a style.  This one has run with credit in some hurdle races but 3m seems to test and although a place prospect, 9/2 seems tight.

Rossbrin – The Chepstow run seemed to be going well until the top of the Welsh tracks long straight when a little fluency was lost and then this horse seemed a bit flat-footed.  3/1 seems fair for this company…

Golden Dream – This is definitely a good ground horse with the record being 6 runs, 2 wins and 2 further places.  The soft ground record for this one is 4 runs and 1 place.  A clean round of jumping would significantly help as both chase starts have seen some serious errors at the obstacles.  The problem is that I do not think Huntingdon will help as a fast flat course with some tricky jumps. 5/1 overlooked.

Rivermouth – Alan Kings runner is of interest after signing off from hurdling with a decent handicap win off 83.  A starting mark of 97 on hurdles bow might be in scope and Rivermouth should make a significantly better chaser for a top yard.  Ground conditions should be fine.

Selection

Cases can be made for a few of these with good ground helping us get a decent read on the likely strong finishers.  Huntingdon can expose weak jumpers with its fast paced obstacles.  Rossbrin has the best jumping credentials but that sadly also means he is one of the more exposed.  I am minded to side with Rivermouth at 5/2 (Bet365) and Traffic Chaos at 14/1 (Hills).  I suggest the following staking plans

Sensible: .5pt wins on both, .25pts rev f/c

Balls Out: All on Traffic Chaos to win

Courage and roll those dice…….