The Major had little time to put up the usual long Saturday post. The selections ran to mixed standards. The 18/1 shot ran to a place but Cashelgar was poor, continuing his plunge to new lower depths of ability.
With hope, Ayr will be fine tomorrow as there is a half reasonable National Hunt card for a Monday.
The Major has a couple of fancies to tip up.
Firstly, the 2pm Novice Hurdle. This looks set to be dominated by those at the head of the market.
Sydney Paget is the confident selection for the win at 2.1. The horse showed the best form of the field when second to the talented looking Knock a Hand. That form looks very solid as Knock a Hand has won all three starts since being raced on Heavy ground and is surely festival bound. Any reproduction of the 3l second which Syndney Paget put in, should be enough to take this.
The rest of the field looks unremarkable and so I am also going to have a bet on the forecast (straight) with Don’t Back Down. This Gordon Elliot horse has also improved and although looks short on the Sydney Paget form line, looks a solid proposition to plug on for second.
In the 3.10, What a Dream is going to be a hot bet given his resurgence at Wetherby last time out. He looked the winner until some errors late in the game and this is the Majors problem, I am not sure I want to be on an unproven jumper.
The Majors tip is Alan Swinbanks Proud Times at a general 5/2. It is entirely feasible that this opening chase mark is quite lenient and although not an obvious chaser on breeding, he has been backed in novice hurdle events, including last time out when beaten favourite. More has been expected of this horse and the Major is tipping that the improvement comes tomorrow.
Good morning from Maidstone where the Major writes with fingers chilled with winters icy lust.
Abandon hope is the cry… The Major studied the Ffos Las card in vain hope last night, it was the last bastion of quality UK racing.
Alas we wake to the news of the Welsh abandonment and are forced to focus on the all weather.
Being away I have little time and what’s more, little inclination to explain myself so just get on Mr Willis (18/1) at 3pm and then Cashelgar (8/1) at 3.35pm both at Lingfield.
As you know the Major has a shocking tipping record on the football but plunders on regardless like a wounded animal …. Stumbling blindly on, flailing wildly, lashing out… Use this information as you see fit.
Stoke v Sunderland draw 9/4, Norwich win at home 11/10 and finally QPR at 10/11.
May you eat well at an established spot where your custom is handled with the credit your status deserves. Take that one with the saucy smile and vicious wicked laugh that will remain ringing in your ears long after the bill was settled.
Courage, roll those dice.
Only a short post from the Major but there is an unmissable bet in the hot listed hurdle at Clonmel.
The Major had a tidy winner with the Henderson runner at Southwell earlier in the week. Although advised at 3/1, the horse drifted to be a 7/1 winner.
There is a runner in tomorrows 2.40 Clonmel listed hurdle that the MAjor has to get on large.
Although Mr Murphy ran respectably, it is not a good enough animal in the Majors view.
Knockgraffon Kid is entitled to improve again and will be helped by the heavy ground. Given this horse will probably need further, a sound place prospect but at 7/2, no bet exists for the Major.
The selection though, is a confident one in Folsom Blue. The Major was very taken with the improvement this horse has shown each race contested over hurdles. The last effort was very good, comfortably beating a decent field in soft conditions with plenty to spare.
This race is surely going to suit and 2/1 with Paddy Power looks a price and a half.