Daily Archives: June 19, 2012

Wednesday Royal Ascot Tips – Tuesday results… Advised Bated Breath 6/1 (2nd).. Advised Most Improved 9/1 (won)

Good evening from the Major – The first day of Royal Ascot was a winning one for the blog with Bated Breath beating all but the Hong Kong raider and Most Improved staying on doggedly from the front to win at 9/1.

Most of all the day will be remembered for the 1/10 annihilation of the Queen Anne by Frankel.  He has been given a provisional timeform rating of 147 which would make him the best horse they have ever rated in their six decade history… wow.

That rating will be confirmed in the next few days but the performance without doubt in the Majors mind was Frankels best.  He destroyed a field that many will say is not top class but Excelebration would have won several G1s without Frankel on the scene.  That includes today where he was a beaten second by eleven lengths.

By rating Frankel 147, they are judging that Excelebration ran almost a stone below his previous best rating.  That might be true as he did try to take Frankel on but if anything it flatters Frankels mark.  He also lost a shoe.  He could also get better…. Frightening.

Thank God for Prince Khalid Abdulla who kept Frankel in training and gave us this joy.

To Wednesday and a couple of select Royal Ascot tips, let us hope we keep the winners flying in!

Wednesday Ascot Tips – Jersey Stakes

I was very keen on Fort Bastion but he looks a non-runner.  Richard Hughes had given him such a warm write-up at the weekend and had rated him his likeliest Royal Ascot winner.

Last years winner Strong Suit was against the trend as it is unusual for a horse with a group win on the CV to win this.

Power hardly did wonders for the form of the Irish 2,000 guineas yesterday and although Wrote technically has achieved most so far in coming to third to Power in the classic, I am not convinced and would prefer stablemate Ishvana, the filly who was second in her Guineas run.

Aljamaaheer is on a massive upwardly curve and comes second on the Majors list, I certainly would not put you off a bet.  Another that I would consider is 4/1 favourite Sentaril who looks progressive and with Murtagh booked, can definitely be involved.

The Jersey normally goes to a well considered horse and the Major is opting for one.  I am going for the completely unexposed Valbchek who battled well over 6f beating Swiss Spirit last time.  An extra furlong will suit and Noseda has a decent record in the race.  7/1 is generally available.

Prince of Wales Stakes

As much as I respect Carlton House, Reliable Man and Planteur in particular, my bet of the week has to be So You Think.

The Ballydoyle horse was second to Planteur in Dubai and has been known to disappoint but equally he has won four Group 1s while with O’Brien and I think he will be fully ready for this.  His greatest rival Cirrus Des Aigles was a notable omission at the 48 hour declarations… have a chunky slice at evens if you must but…

Rumour has it William Hill are 6/4 from 8.30, don’t know how much you can get on but I would get it all on!

Tuesday Royal Ascot Tips – 11/2 and 8/1

Flying post from the Major this morning to get us started on a Royal Ascot winfest.

I hope you took up the Saturday advice and backed my horse in the handicap at York, if so you have a free £20 VC bet to use and I have a strong suggestion as to how you might use it.

The second race of the day is the group one Kings Stand a 5f sprint of some of the finest. Only some mind, really I would have liked the three main market principles to wait until Saturday and run against Black Caviar but sadly not so. I can understand connections wanting to avoid the wondermare but it is disappointing.

Mainly I am disappointed for Black Caviar. I am wondering what the trip was for and wonder if that is the feeling in the yard too. She has come to Ascot to race for less money than she would in Dubai, Signapore or Hong Kong so the motive is not financial.

She is also not facing our top sprinter (revealed in one second!) or Frankel or Camelot because either connections are 1. Running scared or 2. Trying their damnedest to win a group one in their own way… Depending on how you look at it.

This leaves the only motivation as one of pride. Black Caviars connections want to say they came to Europe faced a field in one of our top sprints and won leaving her the undisputed sprint champion. Well that title was never in question in the Majors view and I wish she had a bit more on her plate but alas, these thoughts carry the weight of a man who owns none of the thoroughbred flesh I am debating.

tips for the King Stand – Royal Ascot Tuesday

The three market principles are all around the 5/1 mark – Ortensia, Wizz Kid and Bated Breath.

Of the two raiders, the Australian Wizz Kid makes most appeal having won the last three and seemingly improving.

Ortensia, the French filly, represents a yard which won the race in the eighties but I don’t consider her a main danger.

Indeed, with confidence I promote the chances of BATED BREATH who broke the track record and showed admirable spirit last time out, when also carrying the Majors advice. Along with Dream Ahead, I think we have to consider BB our best sprinter and I think the home guard is good enough to win this. 11/2 is widely available.

St James Palace Tips

Power is the 7/2 favourite for the St James and I think we can get him beaten. Ok the Coventry winner saw a lot of this field off in the Irish 2000 guineas and although that race was strongly run which might give some hope of reversing the form, the Major is not convinced.

Instead I am going to tip MOST IMPROVED at 8/1 who I think could be better than we have seen.

My selection has also lost to Power, in the Dewhurst as a juvenile but the distance was negligible. An interrupted season has meant that no classics have been on the card. The French Derby was the messiest race you can imagine so i have a line through that form too but the Major thinks Ascot is where the horse might eventually come back to hand. 8/1 is a fine price so have a slice.