Flying post from the Major this morning to get us started on a Royal Ascot winfest.
I hope you took up the Saturday advice and backed my horse in the handicap at York, if so you have a free £20 VC bet to use and I have a strong suggestion as to how you might use it.
The second race of the day is the group one Kings Stand a 5f sprint of some of the finest. Only some mind, really I would have liked the three main market principles to wait until Saturday and run against Black Caviar but sadly not so. I can understand connections wanting to avoid the wondermare but it is disappointing.
Mainly I am disappointed for Black Caviar. I am wondering what the trip was for and wonder if that is the feeling in the yard too. She has come to Ascot to race for less money than she would in Dubai, Signapore or Hong Kong so the motive is not financial.
She is also not facing our top sprinter (revealed in one second!) or Frankel or Camelot because either connections are 1. Running scared or 2. Trying their damnedest to win a group one in their own way… Depending on how you look at it.
This leaves the only motivation as one of pride. Black Caviars connections want to say they came to Europe faced a field in one of our top sprints and won leaving her the undisputed sprint champion. Well that title was never in question in the Majors view and I wish she had a bit more on her plate but alas, these thoughts carry the weight of a man who owns none of the thoroughbred flesh I am debating.
tips for the King Stand – Royal Ascot Tuesday
The three market principles are all around the 5/1 mark – Ortensia, Wizz Kid and Bated Breath.
Of the two raiders, the Australian Wizz Kid makes most appeal having won the last three and seemingly improving.
Ortensia, the French filly, represents a yard which won the race in the eighties but I don’t consider her a main danger.
Indeed, with confidence I promote the chances of BATED BREATH who broke the track record and showed admirable spirit last time out, when also carrying the Majors advice. Along with Dream Ahead, I think we have to consider BB our best sprinter and I think the home guard is good enough to win this. 11/2 is widely available.
St James Palace Tips
Power is the 7/2 favourite for the St James and I think we can get him beaten. Ok the Coventry winner saw a lot of this field off in the Irish 2000 guineas and although that race was strongly run which might give some hope of reversing the form, the Major is not convinced.
Instead I am going to tip MOST IMPROVED at 8/1 who I think could be better than we have seen.
My selection has also lost to Power, in the Dewhurst as a juvenile but the distance was negligible. An interrupted season has meant that no classics have been on the card. The French Derby was the messiest race you can imagine so i have a line through that form too but the Major thinks Ascot is where the horse might eventually come back to hand. 8/1 is a fine price so have a slice.