Good morning from the Major whose Ascot week has been quite profitable so far. Profitable yes, spectacular, not quite.
Yesterday, Princess Highway added to the winners with an 8/1 comfortable win (advised 13/2) and I thought we were desperately unlucky in the first with my 12/1 selection finishing fifth after being hampered at the furlong pole.
Today I have only time for a short post so I offer you some speedy tips…
The Albany Stakes Tips – Ascot 2.30pm
Newfangled is a tasty favourite for this after having the race on her schedule following her easy Newmarket win. Given that was on soft you can see why she would be all the rage this morning.
That said, others will handle soft too and I am looking for some value. In the last five years we have had winners at 50/1, 16/1, 16/1 as well as an odds on favourite.
The Albany tip from the Major is going to Sandreamer at 16/1. It is an animal that fits the ‘could be anything’ bracket after smashing moderate horses on debut. The ground is a slight concern as that race was on good to firm and these conditions will be very different but I like most that the trainer has taken the Albany three times in ten years.
Of the rest, Sendmylovetorose is also terrific value at 16/1 and I would not put anyone off a pop at that one, given the easy debut win at Naas on soft.
3.05 King Edward Stakes Tips
I am a fan of Shantaram in this, currently 8/1 and set to drift if the Betfair money markets are right, I think I might be swimming against the tide.
Yet I thought the formline with Main Sequence and the progressive nature of the horse suggested that Shantaram was not simply rounding up the numbers in this.
Of the others, I see no reason why Noble Mission will reverse form with Thought Worthy with the latter a true St Leger sort who will benefit over this further distance.
The Coronation Stakes Tip – Ascot 3.45
The 1,000 guineas form is crucial to assessing what is likely to happen in this race and the racing world has a definite chasm in opinion. Some think that the form shown by Homecoming Queen in unusual conditions was exceptionally good, leading all the way and others think it is a race to discard.
The Major is towards the latter and certainly do not think the favourite is a good thing here.
Instead I offer Laugh Out Loud who since the 1,000 Guineas has won well in France and at York and surely won’t be making the mistake of giving Homecoming Queen as much rope this time. 9/2 have a slice.
Finally, in the 5pm Queens Vase, I would suggest a bet on the Queens horse, 4/1 Estimate. Interesting that she is competing against the boys over this stayers distance and I would suggest this tip is not merely patriotic!