Good evening from the Major who writes from the comfortable position of a man who has drunk good wine and eaten pork belly.
Tomorrow is the Yorkshire Oaks day and the Major writes with tips aiming to win us valuable ground on the enemy positions.
2pm York – Yearling Stakes
This is a very difficult contest with pretty much every animal contesting it progressive. I am favouring the higher draws and seeking trainer credibility, form, experience (can be over-rated) and breeding.
The Major cannot dismiss 5/1 shot Blessington on that evidence. While he messed up his debut chances with a tardy exit from the gates, his subsequent win at Glorious Goodwood had a lot of promise. That day he had a couple of winners in behind as the Racing Post points out but… they were not that close to him that day – It might prove a hot race…. not convinced enough for 5/1 despite the good impression that the Goodwood win left.
The Major instead opts for terrific value 10/1 shot Body and Soul – Clearly a decent juvenile, she has won on a range of ground types – The trainer has a good record in this stakes race having won it twice in the last ten years. The Super Sprint win would have hardened her up and is as good a piece of form as the Major can recognise in the field….. Great Chance.
2.30 York – Lowther Stakes
It is hard to make any argument against Newfoundland at evens – She is surely the best juvenile we have yet seen. While her wins have been on softish ground, there is no reason to assume that she will not mind the firmer York conditions. The filly, out of New Approach, is my NAP of the day.
3.05 York – 1m Handicap
These major handicaps can be hard to tip but there is an obvious over-priced candidate here for the Major in Navajo Joe at 16/1.
My selection is a past winner (and placed) off this mark, if you take into account the apprentice claim – That could be a concern but I do not know of a better 7lb claimer than Michael Murphy. The tip seems to like York and I am sure that the last run simply stretched the selection on distance – Have a slice.
The Major must point out the gamble on Strictly Silver whose earlier 33/1 prices have evaporated and the ever contracting 16s, 14s bandwagon seems to be an act of perpetual motion.
3.40 Yorkshire Oaks
It is hard to discount the form of Arc second Shareta – While she has not won in 7 races, each has been a top class affair and she is never beaten far. In the Majors’ mind it is a battle between that class and the fact that she often finds herself beaten… on balance I am just against on the balance that she travels…
This leaves me with The Fugue – The Major was wrong to suggest Izzi Top was the better of the two mares when they met earlier this month. Buick got that choice wrong too so no disgrace their but it seemed to me that The Fugue finally had a clear run and showed us the class. Why would that change today? Confident tip for the Fugue.
4.15pm – Galtres Stakes
The Queen seems to have an excellent chance of taking the Galtres with her runner, Sequence – The last Newmarket win was very good and Her Majesty has a favourites chance.
Many of these are handicappers stepping up in class. That sort often struggles to win, despite the (again Queens horse) victory of Set to Music last year.
I have to take the Weld raid with Pale Mimosa very seriously at 3/1 – The Galway win was something special and the aiming at this race, significant (a very rare York raid)… a confident selection.
4.50 York – Tips for the EDF Stakes
I cannot believe that Boylesports are currently 16/1 about last years winner Shesastar who has won off a higher mark since. This must be the target and everything points to a major run.
Courage, roll the dice.