Good Evening from the Major who writes a very short post with my thoughts for day 1 of the Breeders Cup coming to you on ATR from Santa Anita tomorrow night.
I love the Breeders Cup meeting although have had little tipping luck overall in it, so my post comes with a health warning. I tip winners enthusiastically, it is a shame some tips choose not to win. Still, embark with me on the journey – Our dreams shall remain intact until just after tea time tomorrow night.
This is one of the premier world meets and this year promises to be a cracker.
Apparently the runners will be drug free, (although Lasix seems allowed) which should give the Europeans an advantage. The ground is set to be rattling and so that probably levels it up.
I have to be brief and cut short on any reasoning because I am trying to read and study for my MBA. What I meant to write was, this entire post is me distracting myself from the terrifying essay I have to write.
Super Ninety Nine is considered in the 8.06 Sprint (6f) – Baffert is a legend and I am sure that this is worth a place in the line up. Yet the other market fancy is the tip, Merit Man, gets my vote after handing a right beating to South Floyd here over the exact same trip. 7/4 is fair enough with only Baffert to beat in my opinion.
In the Marathon (1m 6f on dirt – The yanks are strange with their distances), I have given up on Fame and Glory, think he is past his best and a trip to the states is probably not going to help. I am going to take a chance on 25/1 Juniper Pass – My tip has the services of Frankie who loves the Breeders Cup and with a change in headgear (removal of), I am hoping for a run for our money.
Back on turf, the fillies mile looks a cracker and I am tempted by the Canadian Spring Venture who could be anything. Both the fillies at the top of the market are Europeans and solid prospects but I am tempted by a long price again in that of 20/1 Kittens Point. My tip is less exposed than most and looks more progressive than Moonwalk who beat her a nose last time out. Moonwalk has been trading places with a few of these but I think mine can improve past them all to finish best of the home team – Let’s see if it is good enough.
In the Grey Goose runs my nap of the night. Kauai Katie might be a sprinter on paper and has been beating everything she meets impressively. The presence of proven 1m+ horses keeps the price honest and although she might look the second stable string to Dreaming of Julia, I think my selection might have the class to surprise. 6/1 have a large slice.
Staying on the turf for the fillies and mare turf race, we have some serious European contenders. the Fugue has been playing in the top leagues but is not quite top class in my view. No, for me, the tip is going to be 14/1 shot Lady of Shamrock who will be ideally suited by trip and ground and has a fantastic strike rate.
Breeders Champions meet in the last and Awesome Feather who is unbeaten after ten starts including facile wins at Grade 1 level is the tip in the lucky last.
Stock the fridge with some cold beer, have a lucky 31 or some other combination bet on my selections and enjoy. Let’s see if we can get the weekend paid for!