The Majors Wednesday tip ran into a place but was not good enough to take the spoils of war. I returned to take stock of the Thursday cards and there is some good action in Ireland and the UK.
The top action is at Gowran Park where there is a £52k Chase and a £26k Hurdle race which features the likes of Voler la Vedette and Zaidpour in what promises to be a warm encounter.
It is the chase contest with 18 runners and a beautiful handicap conundrum worthy of the finest racing minds, that attracts the Majors eye though. A fiendish puzzle, wrapped in an enigma, coded and written down, dismantled and disturbed, only those whose minds can reassemble the fragments dare to assess the eighteen runners. Dare dip thy crucible in the boiling seething pot?
Sadly you only have the Major as your guide. I am only an amateur sherpa in these high climes but I come with unbridled enthusiasm, relentless optimism and an idea of the winner.
3.05 Gowran – The Thyesetes Chase
There is a very strong trend in the Thyestes that the Major is using as the basis of his tips, as I feel two are worthy of backing.
Of the last ten winners, only one horse (last years Siegemaster) carried a burden in excess of eleven stone. In fact, 70% of winners carried 10 stone 2 lbs or less. A featherweight is what we are looking for.
I have run the usual calculations and have the probabilities in the Majors eyes for each horse. Willie Mullins has four runners in a race he has taken with National winner Hedgehunter as well as Homer Wells, all four warrant respect. Two of them Shakervilz and Some Target sit in the top four of the betting.
Start Me Up would also be of clear interest and he heads the market at 8/1. Some good bumper and hurdles form and a warm up race over too short a distance actually adds up to an interesting profile. The price is skinny enough but more money could be significant.
First reserve Tullintain is of some interest to the Major if he gets a run but since we are after something to back, I am going to suggest a 16/1 shot.
The Major has settled on two horses to back for wins.
Tinakellylad is the first selection at 16/1, the Mouse Morris trained eight year old. There is absolutely nothing wrong with this horses best form having beaten Kempes as a novice. He has had some problems having been bought down in the Munster National before being pulled up twice. However last time out at Cork, he returned to a better line of form.
I am backing him to run a decent race off 10st 4lbs, with a further 5lb pull from his worthy jockey A P Heskin.
The second animal is 12/1 Adams Island who gets a Barry Geraghty ride. His last run was also a turning point in a decent race at Leopardstown. He has had money come for him in races this year that he has flopped at, this is the second time Geraghty has taken the ride and the Major feels a big run is expected. 12/1 William Hill is the best price.
Have two slices and thank me later.