Tag Archives: broadbackbob

Friday Cheltenham Horseracing Tips – Shabash, roll those dice

Good evening from the Major who writes with a head cold brewing, the system is slowing down, the heartbeat is louder and forced, things are aching.

The good living seems to be catching up on me yet the real heavy nights are still ahead of me, this weekend.  A combination of rigorous drinking, single-mindedness and hardcore N-(4-hydroxyphenyl) ethanamide will see me through.

Tomorrow there is racing at Cheltenham.  I was thinking of an early night but was persuaded to write-up some Cheltenham tips by a foxy piece earlier.

There I was earlier, a gentlemen mingling among acquaintances, glass of champagne in hand… when over she strolls, wanton look in her eye, not the most glamorous sort but a certain curl of the lip lets you know where her mind is running… ‘you have something I want….‘  Well well thinks I…. ‘I am racing at Cheltenham tomorrow, give us your tips’

In hindsight perhaps anything else was unlikely.

So to Cheltenham and lets daub the war paint and do battle once more….. Ms N, good luck.

Cheltenham Tips

In the opener Rebel Rebellion for the champion trainer could be interesting stepped down in class from a daunting assignment trying to tackle the hugely exciting Captain Conan.  I think he might be bumping into more useful sorts here though and would need to show a lot of improvement for the step up in trip.

Henderson, Longsden and McCain have their strings in fine order and I think it is wise to concentrate on their runners.  Hilldisvini is small but progressing nicely, might just have run into a decent field here though.  Super Duty looks decent, particularly the line through Simonsig.

Yet, boring as it seems, the Major is tipping Broadbackbob for the opener at 5/4.  The yard, ground and trip look fine and this horse was very reasonable over the smaller obstacles.

The second race is a conditional jockeys affair and in these contests, the quality of the jockey plays a bigger role than normal.  Mr Nolan has a 17% strike rate, Mr Derham, Lineham and Bellamy between 12-13% and Lucy Alexander is a top notch rider too (11%).

I do not want to look any further than Simply Wings (Nolans ride) at 7/1 – A bloodless winner of a beginners chase last time, my tip should go well for 7/1.

The 1.20 handicap is an open affair (9/2 the field) – Tom Du Lys is an easy selection at 8/1 – It looks like the horse is being backed so may go off shorter.  The reasoning is the same that everyone else will see – Henderson, Geraghty, French Import, Handicap debut slightly disappointing, put away until this season!

The Grade 3 handicap at 1.55 is the graded race of the day.  Bradley has run well at Cheltenham before and given that he handles the track, he will be a warm order.   Quartz de Thaix is a horse seemingly on the upgrade and while upped in class, might be a better horse yet.

Midnight Chase has excellent course form and is surely booked to be in the places and can take the race.

Not a race I want to be heavily involved in but I am opting for Becauseicouldntsee – If the Thurles run was a warm up then the horse will be well for this and the yard are hardly one to tilt at anything.

The cross country will hopefully get the go ahead and if so I don’t think it is worth looking beyond 3/1 Uncle Junior and 5/1 Bostons Angel.  I would back the former, despite the top weight, who has experience of this game.

The penultimate race a class 2 handicap is a quality race and again is a fairly open affair – I could make cases for quite a few.

The most appealing of a long list are Inish Island who seems unlikely on profile but won a hurdle race last time at Downpatrick nicely.  In excellent hands to try to cope with the step up in distance and the assistance of the Walsh ride.

At Fishers Cross won readily last time and while seemingly moving left across the track for pressure, still had plenty in hand.  The jumping was a bit of a concern and let’s face it, Cheltenham is going to examine that closely.

Saint Roque is interesting, bought down when getting competitive latest, but it is a worry that Ruby has gone for Inish Island.  The course experience could be important but Nicholls string seem to be going a little of the boil after an awesome run 3/4 weeks ago.

Sivola de Sivola has a big race in him but often needs a lot of encouragement and if something arrives on the hill travelling more smartly, I am not sure I would want to be on the Tom George inmate in a crisis.

Tight call between some interesting sorts.  On each you make a compromise   The compromise I am happiest with is that At Fishers Cross, can step up and make quality count.  I am hoping the slower pace of this race will enable a cleaner round of jumping.  9/2.

Eduard is the bumper tip at 9/2 after ifandbutwhynot franked the Newcastle race they competed in.

The Saturday Sermon Cheltenham Racing Tips, 4th Round FA Cup Tips

Good morning from the Major who writes from the cold Worcestershire heartland.  The earthen smell of the outdoors, the depths of January and the glory of a superb Cheltenham card – It is good to be alive and an Englishman on days of such heady mix.

Diamond Harry to win the Argento Chase

Diamond Harry for the Major.... send me the postcard

You may notice this post was posted in the wee hours, this is due to the Majors Saturday commitments which have disturbed the usual weekend rhythm.

Did you realise that the Major loves gambling?  Had you picked up on this subtlety?  That was a rhetorical question.  Truly it is an honourable endeavour and if you are not certain of this in your heart.  If you give even the slightest credence to it being a sin or a weakness, then please move on, your sort is not welcome here.  

Can you get a paper between addiction and unconditional love?  Well yes, addiction is irrational, unconditional love not necessarily so.  Either way, the Major cares little, I simply love the thrill of sporting chance. 

Nobody has captured the honourable endeavour more accurately in my view than the great Kipling, one of England’s finest poets, whose prose roused the youth of the nation into a mission of imperialism, setting fires alight in the bellies of youth to win their spurs fighting in some foreign clime to bring the three C’s to the rest of the world.

From his most famous Poem ‘If’. 

If you can make one heap of all your winnings
And risk it on one turn of pitch-and-toss,
And lose, and start again at your beginnings
And never breathe a word about your loss;

The Major feels remorse for those that do not gamble, it is as if they are missing an essential part of the great existence we share.  We go floating by just the once and you need to grab whatever flotsam comes your way in the current.  Accept the sweet gifts my friends, yet ask no questions.  

If you want to read Kipling, I suggest you start with Kim.

To the sports…. shine the point on that lance young man and polish that saddle.  We shall meet our enemy hand to hand and we shall be dressed as a gentleman should be.

Tips for The Cheltenham Card

What a truly terrific card at Cheltenham for Trials Day.  The Argento chase looks superb, even with Grand Crus dropping out, the juvenile hurdle looks a cracker too. For those on the course, enjoy, I wish you the happiest of days, think of the Major…. childrens party…. bad times. 

For those reading late at night, the rain has come to Cheltenham so although the official going is good to soft, it may be soft in places.

I hope I have found some winning Cheltenham tips for you.  Get these in a Lucky 15 and thank me later!

12.55 JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial

Grumeti was incredibly unlucky not to win when falling eight lengths clear and cruising at the last on his second hurdles start at Newbury.  He had previously spread-eagled a Taunton field and looks a top class prospect.

That said, so does Baby Mix.  He had Hinterland 7 lengths behind (a horse that Hollow Tree failed to beat over course and distance) and crucially has Cheltenham form.

One of the most interesting runners is Pearl Swan.  A french import in the hands of Nicholls entered at this level and still being quoted at 10/1.

When all is said and done, I am minded to back Grumeti at 6/4.  There is not so much love in the price but Alan King took this trial with Franchoek, Katchit and Walkon in the last five years so he clearly aims his top Triumph prospect at it.

Incidentally, if you want my best Cheltenham bet, I would take the 16s still about for Dildar to win the Triumph Hurdle.   This Nicholls inmate has a similar feel to Zarkander.  A classy flat animal (5l down to Pour Moi and only narrowly beaten by the French Derby winner!) he could first appear on a UK course on the Friday of the festival, do not say I did not warn you!

1.30 Cheltenham – Novice Handicap Chase

This is a wide open handicap and the markets are 7/1 the field.  The horses that are nof significant interest are..

Made in Time who has won both chase starts he has completed.  Sadly he has only completed half his chase starts and that makes him a difficult horse to tip in a competitive handicap which will test his jumping.

Charminster looks certain to improve now stepping up in distance and is a serious contender in the Majors view.  He looks classy and could get away with carrying eleven seven, this is a handicap debutante of clear interest.

Carpincho also looks fairly treated and the stable have booked Costello for the ride.  He is 1/3 for the yard and this is not a horse without chance.

That’lldoboy still looks on the upgrade and we cannot be certain that the handicapper has stopped Mr Chow either who was turned out twice quickly over the New Year to take advantage of lenient marks.  124 may still be going easy on him.

Bless the Wings is certainly well in on his form with Our Mick.  The latter is now equipped with a mark of 142 and Bless the Wings was a 6 length second at Kempton so 130 looks tidy.

Overall I am going to steer you to Charminster at 10/1.  McCain is in decent enough touch and this horse does look pretty decent.  Bless the Wings (particularly), That’lldoboy and Mr Chow all rate as live dangers.

2.25 Argento Chase

This is pretty much a Gold Cup field with the exceptions of Grand Crus, Long Run and Kauto.  A classy affair for the highlight of the card.

The Major has to side with Diamond Harry who looks sensational value at 7/2. 

Captain Chris has looked all wrong on his last runs and if he returns to his form from last spring then he will be a danger to all.  That said, the Major thinks he is a spring horse and best watched so 11/4 gets no love from these quarters.  I also think they need to step back to two and a half miles but we will see.

Time for Rupert needs to step up and with the stable seemingly out of sorts, not for me.

Overall I am very pleased to be getting 7/2 for Diamond Harry, a fragile horse but one who has a superb winning record.

3.10 Novice Hurdle –  Grade 2

This is a great looking race and the two to concentrate on are well advertised in the market, Knights Pass and Broadbackbob.

The first has gone from strength to strength hurdling and is entitled to have a step up in class.

The second and the Majors tip, Broadbackbob, is another of the novice hurdling riches of the Henderson yard and should be backed early at 7/4 (general).  His two hurdle wins have been done with the minimum of fuss and he has the best form on show, simple.

To the football and 4th round FA Cup tips…

The Major’s football tips are not fairing brilliantly so these come with a profit warning.

Hull to beat Crawley… 18/19

Newcastle to win at Brighton 20/19

Stoke to win at Derby 13/10

May your dinner be Mexican, hearty beans and fiery flavour, eat with your hands and take company that is relaxed and uncomplicated – The sort with a plain yet somehow wanton look.  Enjoy yourself.  Tip well. 

Courage, roll those dice.