Tag Archives: eduard

The Saturday Sermon – Racing Action from Doncaster, Navan and Kelso… Live with intensity my friends… Cheltenham is here

Good evening from the Major who writes from my cold Worcestershire pile. Today in meteorological terms the calendar turned to Spring but this season awakens like a slow lumbering animal whose limbs have lain stiff and frozen for some time, creaking now into life, the ice and frost cracking as new movement arrives.

I wish for you all that you live an interesting life. According to psalms, we are all here for our four score and ten, 90 years in new money, although for most of us that is pushing it.   In the UK you are likely to finish ten years light of that allocation, in some sub Saharan Africa countries where one in three adults are HIV positive, that number can be under 50.  That is an average.

Swaziland by some distance sports the lowest life expectancy.  More than half of all adults in their 20s are HIV positive.  Subsistence farming and marijuana are the key economic planks.

Interesting?  It won’t stop me telling you more.  Afghanistan is the only country in the lowest twenty life expectancies outside of Africa.  You have to scoot 40/50 countries up to find the next which is Haiti.  At the top end, it is who you would expect, Japan, Macau and small rich European countries.

The range is startling.  Yet you cannot measure your life merely in longevity, ask those in long-term incarceration.  Other elements are in play.  We pursue wealth because it buys things we seek pleasure from.  It helps to have the resources but the attitude is more important. You can be rich and allow the precious resource to be frittered.  Your use of time.

Use your time today with some intensity.  Variety is no substitute.  If you are to travel around the world, before you pay for the experience, make sure you are capable of absorbing and engaging in an environment first.

The man I used as a role model for living was Sir Clement Freud. Politician, chef, bon viveur, jockey, owner and a man capable of drawing much from that around him. The post has remained open since his death although Strange Rumblings is doing his best to find me a replacement.

Next weekend is Imperial Cup and then we are at Cheltenham.  Let us foray across the enemy line, skirmishing in tight formation.  Smash and grab, cut, thrust and run.  To the sports…

Doncaster Tips

When I saw the Doncaster card this morning, I had to get a dictionary to remind myself of what the word firm meant in the going description!  Saturdays ground is described as good.

The Doncaster opener should go to Themilanhorse but I don’t like backing runners in three runner affairs.  The second listed novice is more interesting even if it is only to watch Ma Filleule breeze up against a field that are simply not as good.  1/3 does not put me off.

Toubab is also a favourite I fancy – He looks like a sort who will really appreciate the return to faster conditions judged on his form with Sprinter Sacre that has been eclipsed by poorer runs on softer ground.

The staying chase is a minefield.  Join Together is the likely favourite and has a tremendous progressive profile.  Now the national weights are out, he is one of a few we can expect to see coming to the boil.  Yet I am not convinced that he will like the top of the ground.  Corkage is an interesting runner, particularly given the jockeys clear preference for him over the shorter priced stablemate Night in Milan, Corkage won’t mind the ground either.  Court by Surprise and Quentin Collonges are also eye catchers, the former beat the latter who might be better suited in these conditions.

Calgary Bay is the class horse amongst them and that with the coupling of AP McCoy gives me the confidence for a win bet at 8/1.

In the staying handicap hurdle, Aaim to Prosper will be trying to pay out on some of the hype.  The dual Cesarewitch winner has only managed placings in hurdles to date although they have been at a decent standard.

Carruthers is going to try to blast it from the front but I am not sure these conditions will suit.  I prefer instead the chances of both Barafundle at 9/1 and Eagle Rock at 12/1.  The former has been consistent and not badly treated by the handicapper.  The latter Eagle Rock to me looks like he might have bags of improvement to come.  12/1 tasty.

Kelso Tips

The Kelso hurdle is a grade 2 affair and while Eduard has some good form and Brick Red is stepping up after impressing in handicaps.  I also interested in 9/2 shot Only Orsenfoolies who has really stepped up as a hurdler and is proven in the soft conditions, I am not sure he beat too much last time but he dug deep.

Eduard is the obvious choice, he boasts the most clear likelihood of talent and I suggest a big investment at 5/4.

A second favourite Harry Topper is backed to make pay his decision to miss Cheltenham in the 4.15.  I was a backer of Bold Sir Brian on the day he fell at Cheltenham.  They had the screens up that day and you feared the worst but thank god, he got up once he had his wind back.  Who knows what that experience has left on him and I just hope he has a safe round at Kelso.

Navan Tips

The only Navan horse I am interested in is Wise Oscar who reverts to this code on a terrifyingly good mark and 11/8 is tasty.

In the football I am backing Hull to beat Blues at home and also taking a slice of Sunderland and Swansea.

The Martin Hill Lucky 15 is Wise Oscar, Harry Topper, Eduard and Eagle Rock.

I hope your dinner is tasty and home cooked.  Sleep well.

Courage and roll those dice.

Friday Cheltenham Horseracing Tips – Shabash, roll those dice

Good evening from the Major who writes with a head cold brewing, the system is slowing down, the heartbeat is louder and forced, things are aching.

The good living seems to be catching up on me yet the real heavy nights are still ahead of me, this weekend.  A combination of rigorous drinking, single-mindedness and hardcore N-(4-hydroxyphenyl) ethanamide will see me through.

Tomorrow there is racing at Cheltenham.  I was thinking of an early night but was persuaded to write-up some Cheltenham tips by a foxy piece earlier.

There I was earlier, a gentlemen mingling among acquaintances, glass of champagne in hand… when over she strolls, wanton look in her eye, not the most glamorous sort but a certain curl of the lip lets you know where her mind is running… ‘you have something I want….‘  Well well thinks I…. ‘I am racing at Cheltenham tomorrow, give us your tips’

In hindsight perhaps anything else was unlikely.

So to Cheltenham and lets daub the war paint and do battle once more….. Ms N, good luck.

Cheltenham Tips

In the opener Rebel Rebellion for the champion trainer could be interesting stepped down in class from a daunting assignment trying to tackle the hugely exciting Captain Conan.  I think he might be bumping into more useful sorts here though and would need to show a lot of improvement for the step up in trip.

Henderson, Longsden and McCain have their strings in fine order and I think it is wise to concentrate on their runners.  Hilldisvini is small but progressing nicely, might just have run into a decent field here though.  Super Duty looks decent, particularly the line through Simonsig.

Yet, boring as it seems, the Major is tipping Broadbackbob for the opener at 5/4.  The yard, ground and trip look fine and this horse was very reasonable over the smaller obstacles.

The second race is a conditional jockeys affair and in these contests, the quality of the jockey plays a bigger role than normal.  Mr Nolan has a 17% strike rate, Mr Derham, Lineham and Bellamy between 12-13% and Lucy Alexander is a top notch rider too (11%).

I do not want to look any further than Simply Wings (Nolans ride) at 7/1 – A bloodless winner of a beginners chase last time, my tip should go well for 7/1.

The 1.20 handicap is an open affair (9/2 the field) – Tom Du Lys is an easy selection at 8/1 – It looks like the horse is being backed so may go off shorter.  The reasoning is the same that everyone else will see – Henderson, Geraghty, French Import, Handicap debut slightly disappointing, put away until this season!

The Grade 3 handicap at 1.55 is the graded race of the day.  Bradley has run well at Cheltenham before and given that he handles the track, he will be a warm order.   Quartz de Thaix is a horse seemingly on the upgrade and while upped in class, might be a better horse yet.

Midnight Chase has excellent course form and is surely booked to be in the places and can take the race.

Not a race I want to be heavily involved in but I am opting for Becauseicouldntsee – If the Thurles run was a warm up then the horse will be well for this and the yard are hardly one to tilt at anything.

The cross country will hopefully get the go ahead and if so I don’t think it is worth looking beyond 3/1 Uncle Junior and 5/1 Bostons Angel.  I would back the former, despite the top weight, who has experience of this game.

The penultimate race a class 2 handicap is a quality race and again is a fairly open affair – I could make cases for quite a few.

The most appealing of a long list are Inish Island who seems unlikely on profile but won a hurdle race last time at Downpatrick nicely.  In excellent hands to try to cope with the step up in distance and the assistance of the Walsh ride.

At Fishers Cross won readily last time and while seemingly moving left across the track for pressure, still had plenty in hand.  The jumping was a bit of a concern and let’s face it, Cheltenham is going to examine that closely.

Saint Roque is interesting, bought down when getting competitive latest, but it is a worry that Ruby has gone for Inish Island.  The course experience could be important but Nicholls string seem to be going a little of the boil after an awesome run 3/4 weeks ago.

Sivola de Sivola has a big race in him but often needs a lot of encouragement and if something arrives on the hill travelling more smartly, I am not sure I would want to be on the Tom George inmate in a crisis.

Tight call between some interesting sorts.  On each you make a compromise   The compromise I am happiest with is that At Fishers Cross, can step up and make quality count.  I am hoping the slower pace of this race will enable a cleaner round of jumping.  9/2.

Eduard is the bumper tip at 9/2 after ifandbutwhynot franked the Newcastle race they competed in.