Tag Archives: excelebration

Saturday Sermon – Tips for Breeders Cup, Santa Anita – Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby | Down Royal JNWine Thoughts

Good morning from the Major who writes from a cold Worcestershire rural scene where conditions lack dignity of ice or frost.  Instead we are treated to a wind chill – It is somehow a dirtier cold.  If we are to be in winter, we should do it properly.

My post yesterday was a disaster.  Conditions at Santa Anita are set up for upsets.  A tight turning turf track on firm which is unusual for all European horses and a dirt track that most have never raced upon.

My selections went from bad to worse and the only thing I got right was Fame and Glory being finished.  Even in his best conditions he is a done deal so the time to retire is right.  I cannot claim too much glory for this correct premonition.  Talking to my brother he said: Well done you got one horse not to win… ouch.

This is going to be fairly brief because I have an essay to write and this is simply a distraction from the lofty studies of business.

You will be glad to hear that the sermon has been reduced.  Suffice to say this, enjoy yourself today.

Santa Anita – Breeders Cup Tips

Draw is essential – That was the lesson I learned last night.  You do not want the inner berth, those horses get trapped on the rail – Look what happened to The Fugue and Sky Lantern, finishing full of running but having nowhere to go.  Getting out is not easy from the inside position, you are better to come slightly wider (like Flotilla).

6.50 Juvenile Turf – Gervinho has been reportedly putting in good track work and I am going to take a 16/1 chance that this could be the best of the home team.

Tips for the 7.35 Fillie and Mare Sprint – Groupie Doll has been transformed by headgear but has some ground to make up so I am going to opt for Dust and Diamonds at 11/2 (Hills) – Lost as to why this 7f contest is a sprint!

8.14 – Dirt Mile – Shackleford needs to have the race run to suit and I am not sure it will be.  I am going to take a chance that Bob Baffert has got to the bottom of Fed Biz poor latest show and the 6/1 (Coral) shot puts his best foot forward here.

8.57  Turf Sprint – Starspangledbanner has had some injury problems and is polaxed by draw 14, it would be one of the best performances ever to beat this field from there.  Yet my tip is only 5 berths left.  8/1 Bridgetown is the call and will be doing his best work at the finish with Mizdirection and Corporate Jungle.

9.36 Grey Goose Juvenile – Shanghai Bobby looks a class act to me… Go lumpy at 2/1.

10.18 – 1m 4f Breeders Cup Turf Tips – A cracking race in which St Nicholas Abbey bids to win again.  There is some tough opposition though and the one that the Major fancies is 5/1 (Paddy) Shareta – The Japanese raider is a danger to all.

10.58 Sprint – Call me crazy but I am opting for 40/1 (Betvictor)  Hamazing Destiny.  My tip has finished in the top 5 in this race twice already and while drawn wide, will get the help of a suicidal pace in the field.

11.40 Santa Anita – Breeders Cup Mile

Then the race we wait all night for.  It is worth staying up just to get a look at Wise Dan.  This chestnut monster looks like he would rip your face off given a chance!  An absolute herculean looking animal, he is in at 11/4.

I am not sure Moonlight Cloud who was so close to downing Black Caviars colours in the summer will enjoy these conditions.

Excelebration has obvious form claims and a win would only go on to stamp Frankels authority on the global racing scene through collateral form.

On balance though, I think Wise Dan for the home team is a strong win tip.

Charlie Hall Chase Tips

What a shame only 6 make it to the start for the Charlie Hall.  Surely a grade 2 chase with £50k+ for the winner could command a greater turn out?

Planet of Sound probably needs genuine good ground to be seen at his best and so is ruled out.

Master of the Hall goes well fresh and is a big price at 10/1.  Yet I cannot see how he will give 5lbs to exciting second season chaser Silviniaco Conti who should take the Charlie Hall for Team Ditcheat at 6/4.

Down Royal – JNWine Chase Tips

The JNwine is the feature track race of the year and it is a shame they have lost Sizing Europe from the card this morning.

I like Kauto Stone but think he might fall just short of top class and would be happier with a slice of the 10/3 about Quito De La Roque who goes well fresh and will enjoy it today.

In the football, Sunderland odds against to beat a lacklustre Villa is appealing at 6/5.  So is 8/11 Man Utd to beat Arsenal.  Tottenham are too short at 8/15 but it is no punters price.

May your dinner be delightful and the company generous.  I apologise for the rushed edition but I have work to do.  Wish me luck.

Courage, roll the dice.

Saturday Sermon – Racing Tips from Ascot, Cheltenham and Cork, plus Frankel – Time at Ascot…

Good evening from the Major who writes to you from a Defford where the sky hangs heavy with the threat of a downpour, it feels as if it were sagging and clinging to my cheek, cold and damp… my sort of weather.

The Household Cavalry dressed in Sheikh Abdulla’s colours in honour of Frankel, the finest horse of our generation

Tomorrow I ride for Ascot, I am taking my father and meeting a friend there for a beer too. Whatever happens we are in for a terrific day of racing but it would be dishonest to say that if Frankel fails to run, it would not be a touch deflating.The way they have handled this horse has given us every chance to enjoy the champion that he is. On Twitter (@tdl123) I rated my top three Frankel races and decided that my favourite was the Queen Anne. Having had longer to reflect I have changed the order slightly and now have a top four in the following order.

4th – The Guineas

This will be top of most peoples lists – The way he flew from the gates and had them at it from half way. A stunning performance and the way they finished strung out like 3 mile chasers was testament to what the great horse had achieved.

3rd – Royal Lodge

The more I watch the Royal Lodge he won, the more I love it. The move he makes on the bend to put the race to bed was stunning and although Treasure Beach was stopped in his tracks, Frankel would still have won by half a furlong!

2nd – The Queen Anne

What a way to open Royal Ascot – As a performance, this was his highest rated in my view. He did not just win, he destroyed a field of top horses and left everyone gasping for air. Awesome.

1st – His First Sussex Stakes versus Canford Cliffs

Context is important and this race was full of it. Goldikova a winner of more Group One races than seems possible was reaching the end of her career. Canford Cliffs, one of the best Hannon has ever had, lowered her colours and rightfully claimed the best miler in Europe crown. Then Frankel met him at Goodwood. The camber at Goodwood means many horses do not act there. The combination of factors meant that the Major tipped Canford… Then this happened…

Let us hope that Frankel runs – The generosity of connections have given us more than we needed but we are like gluttons and want it all. Treasure the moment. The only possible upside of him not running tomorrow is a possible crack at the States and the breeders cup meeting… Personally I would like him to finish his career at Ascot tomorrow.

To the sports….

Ascot Tips – 1.50 – The Stayers

At this stage of the season, I am looking for the slightly more lightly raced sorts. The Ascot ground will also be very soft which should rule a few out…

In the opener, most of the animals will be fine with the soft conditions. Gold Cup winner Colour Vision beat a number of these including Fame and Glory back in July. Opinion Poll, the other Godolphin horse was second that day and goes off as 3/1 favourite here. Aiken is a horse I really like but feels like he might just be a bit short of top draw. Ile de Re is an interesting runner but has to make a big step up in class. Rite of Passage is a fascinating runner and could play a part at 8/1 if well tuned up.

After some thought though, the Major is going to offer Fame and Glory at 11/2 – A former winner of the race who has lost some of his lustre – If he wins tomorrow, it will be a fitting end to a sparkling career… words that we may well repeated later in the day!

2.20 Ascot – Tips for the Sprint

The sprint is a fascinating contest and I would love to back Maarek, especially with the booking of Jamie Spencer. I am wondering though whether the horse is feeling the effect of the campaign and I may well give him a miss. The muddier the better for that one so if more rain arrives, it may be a persuading factor.

The Major is siding with a horse packed with potential in Slade Power who looked a horse going places in the summer. After a break to freshen him up, I expect a top draw performance and although there are proven G1 horses in the field, I do not want to back Wizz Kid unless in France and Society Rock is the main danger. Blue Square offer 15/2 and a quarter odds the place, have a slice.

2.55 Ascot – Group 2 Mile and a Half

The two to concentrate on seem to be Great Heavens and Sapphire. The former took an Irish Classic in the slop and loves these conditions. She was my idea of the Arc winner as I am a massive fan. She cruised into the straight at Longchamp looking a likely challenger but faded badly and I just wonder if the season and he travels are catching up.

Thus the tip is Sapphire for the Weld team. She is a horse of immense talent and seems to be much better the further she goes, seemingly tapped for toe over 400m shorter in the Pretty Polly. She is a true mud lark and at 10/3 generally I think a great bet to beat Great Heavens who I would like to see racing agin next year where hopefully connections might give her a light schedule with a hopefully soft ground Arc as the target.

QE II 3.30 Ascot

Excelebration is an absolute bolt on here and I suggest a reasonable investment at just shading odds on. He has been beaten by Frankel so often yet is still a top class horse and now placed to avoid a battle with the inevitable, he is gaining very well deserved Group One successes.

The Queen is in attendance and so Carlton House would be a popular winner but it is Excelebration for the Major.

Ascot Champion Stakes

It is not often that the Major here whispers but I have it on good authority that Frankel might be a decent sort! This race requires no bet, it is a moment of historic racing importance. I hope Frankel serves it up to Cirrus Des Aigles

Enjoy it…

4.45 Amateur Riders Handicap

I find it disappointing that this race exists on the card of what is meant to be the climax of the flat season. It really seems out of place.

Smarty Socks would be the one I would want but I am dubious that these are his conditions. Boring as it may seem, Jack Dexter is the 5/1 selection. The Ayr Bronze Cup winner loves a bit of mud and is surely goi to have a big say. Kingscroft (16/1) and Atlantic Sport (33/1) also make some appeal.

Cheltenham Selections

It is so good to see racing back at Cheltenham. Fridays action saw The New One take a decent Novice hurdle. Given that he hit most of them, he must be some animal to still win, I expect a big season.

Rendl Beach should be a good thing in the opener at 6/4. Curtis horses often need a warm up but this one won smartly on reappearance and a big run is surely on the cards tomorrow.

In the second race, I am going to take a chance on 22/1 shot Quito Du Tresor. I think that there may be more to come from this one. The Henderson horse Nadiya De La Vega at 10/1 is decent value too.

Baby Mix and Dodging Bullets are two rising stars and the latter looks a great evens bet based on the 4th position achieved in the Triumph.

In the 4th race, I like the look of two Qianshan Leader at 22/1 catches the eye as does Darna at 16/1. The latter looks an intriguing sort.

In the 4.20 I am a big fan of Irish raider Defence of Duress and suggest a decent investment.

Third Intention should see the field off in the penultimate race if match fit. 3/1 is a very fair price as he should be much better than this field, many of whom have a readiness advantage.

In the last maybe Southfield Theatre on a strict reading of form with The New One but honestly, stick a pin in!

Cork Tip

I like Rock Critic in the listed contest and at 2/1 am having it in several selections…

May your dinner be fine, in the company of someone nice. Each day we are above ground is an opportunity so do not waste yours. Let us hope that Frankel gives us something to cheer.

Courage, roll the dice.

The Majors Saturday Gambling Sermon – Ripon tips, The Hungerford – Tasty horseracing tips plus Best Premier League Bet – Kaboooom

Good morning from murky heavy Defford where the sky weighs heavy on the earth, holding all in a cold and damp embrace.  Let us awaken the heavens with a punting celebration.

The Royal Ascot win of Brown Panther with Dubawi Gold in behind (red white arm stripe)

What a fantastic sporting weekend we have laid out before us.  The Premier League is back and I have the best bet of the weekend (in the Majors humble opinion), maybe Ipswich winning 3-0 last weekend after being offered to you at 2/1 is a sign that this is my football season?  Unlikely, the Major prefers math to superstition.

We have the 4th day of the test which may well be weather effected.  1/16 for England to win with two days left?  What other bank pays out at near on 7% for a maximum two-day investment??  Not for the Major…

We have Group 2 racing at Newbury with the Hungerford.  A sign of the quality, is that 6/1 is freely available about Delegator.  No Frankel and no Dream Ahead but with Dubawi Gold and Excelebration, we have plenty of options from the classic generation, see the Majors view below.

Test matches, premier league, group racing, Wales v England rugby, Tri nations rugby….. it is like a great banquet.

There is a far eastern parable of heaven and hell which may well be of Buddhist origin.  As a child, I remember my vicar telling us about a heaven and hell.  In this hell, men (there is probably a ladies section too) sit around a grand table on which is a mighty feast.  The insanity is that each man has only chop stick creating a bedlam as noone is able to eat the great delights before them.

In heaven, the scene is much the same but each man works with his neighbour to feast.  In this way, I urge you to join the Major today to find winners.  Let us meet the enemy on the field of battle with a steel eye, ready for the coolness of battle.  Daub your war paint on your face young man, it is time.  To the sports…

3.30 Ripon – Great St Wilfred Stakes

Let us start with the mother ship of the days selections.  The ground so often a key factor is an essential element today.

I do like it when ground gives you a real advantage.  It is the Majors view that ground specialists, especially when conditions are reasonable extreme (and soft with rain expected for 6f sprinters is definitely extreme!).

Not only are we looking for something that can handle true soft, we want to be drawn low that can take advantage of a significant advantage on Ripons 6f course when the ground is soft.  On this note, the Major is happy to share something – This is where I go to check my draw bias data, just so you know I am not always winging it!

This takes a huge field of 20 conundrums and filters it down to three for the Major.  Atlantic Sport, Parisian Pyramid, Fathsta and Confessional.  28/1, 16/1, 14/1 and 12/1 respectably…. tasty.

There may be others lurking that will be fine in the more testing conditions but the Major thinks that these are the likely 4.  For example, Tajneed, handles good to soft but on 3 runs on anything worse has yet to place.  Plus 9 stone 7 lbs may be a fair weight to lump in these conditions.

Splitting the final four has worked through like this.  Atlantic Sport is a Mick Channon horse and I am not sure his string are in the best touch.  He has had a few winners in the last few weeks but less than a quarter of his horses are placing.

The one that appeals the most is Fastha.  Simcock is in reasonable touch and this horse has placed 9 from 12 runs on good to soft or soft.  Interestingly, Robert Winston gets a debut ride for the stable and stall 2 is a nice spot to be in with speedsters Tajneed and Evens and Odds ready to set it up for this soft loving closer.  William Hill are holding their 12/1, get involved.

3.05 Newbury – Geoffrey Freer – Group 3

I can forgive Brown Panthers poor show in Germany and suggest backing the Michael Owen owned horse for this.  The race looks like a decent trial for the St Leger and on those grounds, the Highclere horse (not that many in the Hannon stable?) must rate as a major danger.

I like Brown Panthers chances here.  Racing off the same price as Census does not seem right.  Don’t get me wrong, Census could win but my market would be 3/1 Brown Panther, 13/2 Census.  On these grounds, 5/1 is a bit of a price in my view and advise you to take a slice.

p.s. Claremont could be a huge 14/1 shot if putting his best foot forward.

3.40 Newbury CGA Hungerford Stakes – Group 2

This is a decent enough renewal, and we have a warm enough favourite in Excelebration.

There is a very even record between the older generations and the classic generation in the Hungerford.  Given that many three-year olds are showing this is a decent crop with major prizes like the King George going top Nathaniel, you have to fancy the two feasible winners that start here.  Dubawi Gold and Excelebration.

Of the two I have to say I think the hot favourite Excelebration is the horse for me.  Although the ground is currently good, I think good to soft will be more likely at the off and it is probably that way already.  I read with interest Richard Hughes article recently in the Racing Post regarding the reticence of courses to declare the word soft in order to keep horses in races…. interesting!

Excelebration won on the continent in soft conditions and the form behind Frankel has a certainty to it.  Dropping to 7f is not a problem.  5/2 is available with Ladbrokes and William Hill, smash that in is the Majors strong advice.

11.15 Arlington Million – Chicago

We have a number of European raiders for the card that holds the Arlington Million.  I think the racing story of the day will unfold here too.

After we have seen Treasure Beach try to take the Grade 1 Secretariat Stakes (9.52pm) (Secretariat being the Majors favourite ever horse watch the Belmont win) which I think will be too short for him, we get a cracking Arlington Million.

The story that I think will make the front page of the Sunday morning Racing Post is Hayley Turner winning a Grade One in the States and catapulting herself into the international racing centre stage.

Make no mistake, I think Hayley is a cracking jockey but not being too shabby a looking lass as well, she has a touch of star quality too.  Her ride in a premier American race tonight on Wigmore Hall is no forlorn hope.  In fact, 5/1 shows it is seriously considered.  I just have a sense that the race might pan out with the two big guns, Cape Blanco (O’Brien horse praying for rain) and Gio Ponti going at each others throats and allowing Hayley to come over the top of them as the Americans say… ‘on the drive, down the stretch’ a strange people.

On that note, this week I finally realised that if I were not British, I would want to be Indian.  Not American or Australian or Canadian or any other English speaking nation.  Indian culture sits well alongside British culture.  Watching the whole episode of British rioting you cannot fail to be impressed with the demonstration of family and community values in the Sikh community.  That…. and who can refuse a decent Chicken Tikka Massala?

Off the track and to the sports……

In the 4th day of the test, I fancy Graeme Swann to make the most of the pitch and 5/2 that he is the top English bowler is a good bet in my view.

In the Premier League I think it is useful to think of what happens on opening days.  There is a perception and an overplay in books that the Major has examined.  It is to do with promoted teams showing they are better than expected.

I think there is a touch of overpricing on matches involving average Premier League teams and newly promoted clubs that people think might be good.

No better example than the Majors big tip of the day.  I love the 23/10 about Bolton to win at QPR (Victor Chandler).  Bolton have a couple of injuries notably to Elmander, but they are still a respectable Premier League club.  I am not sure all is well at QPR.  They have not bought in the summer and at one point the dogs were barking that Warnock was on his way out (traded at evens).  No smoke without fire.  I would back QPR for the drop and I would back Warnock to be the first manager out of work.  I would definitely back Owen Coyles outfit to win today at better than 2/1…. Shabash!  Take a hefty slice and if you are brave enough to wager the stake that Jesus tells you to, send me a postcard.

Cardiff look a certainty to take Bristol City at 8/11 – Maybe the double with Bolton appeals to you.

That is it from the Major this week.  I hope your dinner is fine.  I suggest seafood, a medley of fish, scallop and other various shell-fish.  Drink with a nice New Zealand white wine and do this in good company with a sparkling attractive sort that knows not to talk too much.  As the bill arrives it is rude to show her the roll of notes fresh from the enemies grasp but she will be looking eagle-eyed so as long as your deliberate revelation is subtle, well, you will be at partners that very night, see if I am wrong.

Courage, roll those dice.

The Saturday Service – York Handicap Tips | Tip for the Belmont Stakes | William Hill Greyhound Special | U21 Football Tips

Good morning to British punters, one and all, from sunny Pershore.  We have some winners lined up today…. The Majors coffee has been bubbling away for several hours and the thinking cap is worn and fraying.

The Major needs to build a war chest – Get all in on the lucky 15

It is a day of thin sporting gruel ahead of the feast of Royal Ascot which thunders on the horizon, menacing and exciting – Relentless in it’s approach, dramatic it’s entry, breathtaking and humbling.

The Major plans on posting ahead of each day of the Royal Festival.

Shockingly I am looking to get Frankel beaten.  Yes, you read those words, no need to rub your eyes or adjust your browser.  The more I have considered it, the more I regard his 2,000 Guineas win warily.  The time was unexceptional, the opposition have done little since.  It was a freak performance and against better opposition, I think he needs to settle much better, 1/3 is no price and I will be looking at Dubawi Gold, Excelebration and the Japanese hyper horse, Grand Prix Boss who is priced up dismissively at 16/1.

The Major needs a winning weekend.  I need a couple of tasty winners.  If I am to make it through Royal Ascot, I need to get hold of some ammunition.

At times like this, it is tempting to look down the slips to find longer priced horses with better chances.  This temptation can be the fast way to the poorhouse, we need best value whether it lies in a 2/5 on shot or a 200/1 effort.

Desire is a curious thing.  If there were a cure we might be better as a species, I doubt it though.  The bible teaches that to covet is wrong and that envy is a deadly sin.  In this view, gambling is also a sin.  There is an old Chinese fable of the Stonecutter which seems apt….

There was once a stonecutter, who was dissatisfied with himself and with his position in life.

One day, he passed a wealthy merchant’s house, and saw many fine possessions and important visitors. “How powerful that merchant must be!” thought the stonecutter. He became very envious, and wished that he could be like the merchant.

To his surprise, he suddenly became the merchant, enjoying more luxuries and power than he had ever dreamed of, envied and detested by those less wealthy than himself.

Soon, a high official passed by, carried in a sedan chair, accompanied by attendants, and escorted by soldiers beating gongs. Everyone, no matter how wealthy, had to bow low before the procession. “How powerful that official is!” he thought. “I wish that I could be a high official!”

Then he became the high official, carried everywhere in his embroidered sedan chair, feared and hated by the people all around, who had to bow down before him as he passed.

It was a hot summer day, and the official felt very uncomfortable in the sticky sedan chair. He looked up at the sun. It shone proudly in the sky, unaffected by his presence. “How powerful the sun is!” he thought. “I wish that I could be the sun!”

Then he became the sun, shining fiercely down on everyone, scorching the fields, cursed by the farmers. But a black cloud moved between him and the earth, so that his light could no longer shine on everything below. “How powerful that storm cloud is!” he thought. “I wish that I could be a cloud!”

Then he became the cloud, flooding the fields and villages, shouted at by everyone. But soon he found that he was being pushed away by some great force, and realized that it was the wind. “How powerful it is!” he thought. “I wish that I could be the wind!”

Then he became the wind, blowing tiles off the roofs of houses, uprooting trees, hated and feared by all below him. But after a while, he ran up against something that would not move, no matter how forcefully he blew against it — a huge, towering stone. “How powerful that stone is!” he thought. “I wish that I could be a stone!” he thought. “I wish that I could be a stone!”

Then he became the stone, more powerful than anything else on earth. But as he stood there, he heard the sound of a hammer pounding a chisel into the solid rock, and felt himself being changed. “What could be more powerful than I, the stone?” he thought. He looked down and saw far below him the figure of a stonecutter

The Majors pursuit of gambling glory is less about material gain than the journey itself.  If you have felt the sinews of your body tighten as your horse cruises into contention two furlongs from home with the jockey motionless and your mind furiously computing the risks to you, shortly collecting from the desk a donkey choking wad of notes, then you have lived.

On the subject of good things, the Major suggests the great American novels ‘A Man in Full’ and ‘Bonfire of the Vanities’ both by Tom Wolfe.  Funny and powerful – I cannot think of a greater insight into your existence and what greater compliment can I put forward than that.  See the Major is here to make you money on horses, lose you some on football and enhance your live in ways you never imagined.

To the sports and the racing tracks of Britain.

Selecting races to have a pop at today has been tricky.  I have dismissed a massive amount of contests but have a couple I think are worth a punt.  Firstly, the handicap at York which is race of the day in Britain on a card that is light on quality ahead of the coming Berkshire based riches.

3.15 York – Bond Tyres Trophy Stakes

Pricewise has to be the best racing tipster of our time, who else literally moves markets?  This can be a right royal pain in the derriere when he selects the same horse you have had your eye on and your 10/1 evaporates before your eyes.  Thankfully today, the racing Post maestro is on What About You, a horse the Major has a line through.  His other selection Acclamazing is considered in my book but also has the red line through it.

Seal Rock has to have a superb chance.  Only three races (all won) he is certainly unexposed yet his last win in a four runner event is so markedly different to this, I would be worried about it as a prep run.

Swiss Dream is of big interest and I think race conditions will suit this son of Oasis Dream.  The stable will have had this as the big target and not a lot puts me off apart from the fact that they have had just one winner and a handful of places from 16 starts in the last fortnight.

The main selection though is the favourite Desert Law at 6/1 generally.  The services of one of the Majors favourites, Jimmy Fortune will help this colt.  His reappearance run was solid and surely he has more to offer.

The advice, for clarity, is simple.  A hefty lump on Desert Law to win.  For those that prefer my other selection, I must point out that Skybet are 5 PLACES! on the race.  At 8/1 Seal Rock makes a decent each way saver and so, what the hell, the Major advises that too.

Stating the Obvious – Four Winners – Four Steps to Tipping Heaven

Having covered the major race, I am now settling in to win us a Royal Ascot fund.  No messing around, winners is what we need.  I have cooked up the uber-bet, settle in, prepare your cannon for the four leg lucky 15.

Leg One is the 3.50 at York, get on Sea Moon now, he will only shorten but in my view is a 1/2 shot and is currently 10/11.

Never ready for the Derby, Sea Moon should see this lot off

I can only see the money going one way, get stuck in early.

Sea Moon was a derby entry early in the seaason – Surely he has enough to see off these handicappers off a mark in the low 90’s – This would be a major dissapointment if it did not go in.

Leg two is the 11/8 about Iceland (with Hills) to win against Belarus in the U21 championship.

Iceland U21s to explode like a volcano….. sorry

I think the 11/1 about the Icelanders winning the tournament is decent value too but they should definitely have the firepower to overcome a Belarus team missing their key striker.

Live on Sky, this can give all of you football fans a well needed injection of your favourite stuff!

Leg three is the 10.12pm Greyhound Derby live on Sky Sports.

Taylors Sky a lovely white dog ready to be the Majors best friend

The betting suggests that this is a wide open affair but the Major thinks that track record holding TAYLORS SKY is the answer.  Trainer, Charlie Lister has won the Greyhound Derby 5 times, 2/1 is available at William Hill and Ladbrokes.

While tipping the Greyhound Derby, I also like the market Ladbrokes have open on the last finisher.  11/4 Westmead Guru is the advice.

Leg Four is Animal Kingdom to win the Belmont tonight.

Unlike the Preakness, the Berlmont is live on At the races (415 on Sky)

I have not had much joy tipping up winners in the American Classics but hope to make amends.  Shacklefords Preakness win really went to show what a poor crop of three years olds have come through this year.  That day, Animal Kingdom had a hellish ride and could only get to within a half length.  I think all jockeys will be wary of a crawling pace being set again and this will suit Animal Kingdom.  I hope the heavy rain stays off the Belmont track as this will not improve the race at all.

This lucky 15 is best placed with Hills, for the Majors record, I will only count the advices above in the record as singles.

If you only want one shot to glory today…. go for a tasty double on Iceland and Sea Moon.  Right now they are 11/8 and 5/6 with Hills.  A £25 strike will return £110 less the change and you can thank me later.

I cannot mention the Belmont Stakes without referring you to the most breathtaking horse the Major believes ever to have lived.  The only horse that graces the Majors office in picture form, I have a signed (jockey) photo of Secretariat 30l clear in the straight with the jockey having a long look behind him to see glorious fresh air.

Secretariat set a (still held) world record, in the 73 Belmont, on his own, in the straight with not even a hint of the whip.  Wonder horse.  My favourite piece of commentary is in this race… there are two bits that make my hair stand on end… Secretariat is blazing along…. he is widening now, he is moving like a tremendous machine,……  he is all alone, he is out there all alone…. watch and understand followers, it is good to live while legends do – Messi, I salute you.  Frankel, I may be against you but I hope you are a wonder horse too.  Watch the video and see what you are up against!

Tonight’s entertainment should be hamper style in the open air.  Within a ten mile radius of the Majors humble abode in Worcestershire, we have two beautiful rivers, the Avon and the Severn.  On their banks at this time of year, you can watch swallows in the field as the sun sets.  Take a nice cold Chablis and plates of Serrano ham, soft cheeses, fresh bread, olives, pate and a good blanket.  Most women enjoy this sort of arrangement so take your pick, if you want to be at partners, I suggest taking a guide to the stars, what more romantic notion could their be than kicking back and looking upon the Lords heavenly panorama with a buxom filly sighing on your shoulder.

Good luck to you all, courage and roll those dice.