Tag Archives: hermival

Tuesday Royal Ascot Tips – 11/2 and 8/1

Flying post from the Major this morning to get us started on a Royal Ascot winfest.

I hope you took up the Saturday advice and backed my horse in the handicap at York, if so you have a free £20 VC bet to use and I have a strong suggestion as to how you might use it.

The second race of the day is the group one Kings Stand a 5f sprint of some of the finest. Only some mind, really I would have liked the three main market principles to wait until Saturday and run against Black Caviar but sadly not so. I can understand connections wanting to avoid the wondermare but it is disappointing.

Mainly I am disappointed for Black Caviar. I am wondering what the trip was for and wonder if that is the feeling in the yard too. She has come to Ascot to race for less money than she would in Dubai, Signapore or Hong Kong so the motive is not financial.

She is also not facing our top sprinter (revealed in one second!) or Frankel or Camelot because either connections are 1. Running scared or 2. Trying their damnedest to win a group one in their own way… Depending on how you look at it.

This leaves the only motivation as one of pride. Black Caviars connections want to say they came to Europe faced a field in one of our top sprints and won leaving her the undisputed sprint champion. Well that title was never in question in the Majors view and I wish she had a bit more on her plate but alas, these thoughts carry the weight of a man who owns none of the thoroughbred flesh I am debating.

tips for the King Stand – Royal Ascot Tuesday

The three market principles are all around the 5/1 mark – Ortensia, Wizz Kid and Bated Breath.

Of the two raiders, the Australian Wizz Kid makes most appeal having won the last three and seemingly improving.

Ortensia, the French filly, represents a yard which won the race in the eighties but I don’t consider her a main danger.

Indeed, with confidence I promote the chances of BATED BREATH who broke the track record and showed admirable spirit last time out, when also carrying the Majors advice. Along with Dream Ahead, I think we have to consider BB our best sprinter and I think the home guard is good enough to win this. 11/2 is widely available.

St James Palace Tips

Power is the 7/2 favourite for the St James and I think we can get him beaten. Ok the Coventry winner saw a lot of this field off in the Irish 2000 guineas and although that race was strongly run which might give some hope of reversing the form, the Major is not convinced.

Instead I am going to tip MOST IMPROVED at 8/1 who I think could be better than we have seen.

My selection has also lost to Power, in the Dewhurst as a juvenile but the distance was negligible. An interrupted season has meant that no classics have been on the card. The French Derby was the messiest race you can imagine so i have a line through that form too but the Major thinks Ascot is where the horse might eventually come back to hand. 8/1 is a fine price so have a slice.

The Saturday Service – Irish 2,000 Guineas Tips | Temple Stakes Tips – Eurovision Song Contest Tips!!!

Good morning from the Major who writes to you from the kitchen table of my modest Worcestershire home.  We are bathed in warmth this morning, summer has arrived.

The Major is not a summer man.  Born with a fair red head, the sun causes me pain.  I cannot operate well in it, it burns my skin.  It causes insects to flourish and at nights the heat of the land keeps me awake well into the troubled souls hour.

This last week, the Major has been in poor form.  I tipped an Ian Williams handicap debutante yesterday to some friends and family.  I was quite confident that the 10/1 shot could be a steamer.  10th.  Not that many people are speaking to me, I fear some may be giving me the Agincourt Salute.

Redemption shall come.  Faith can move mountains.  Any road, I fear not for when the great auditor shall check my ledger, pounds and pence will not matter, the style of acquisition will only matter.  I remain free, unhinged and marginally profitable.

This morning, my breakfast is soundtracking a slice of nutty bread, topped with carver ham and a duck egg, kindly donated by my generous neighbours.  A little salt… lovely.

To the sports.

Tips for the Irish 2,000 Guineas – 3.15 The Curragh

The Irish 2,000 Guineas runs today on good ground where Jim Bolgers Parish Hall goes off as marginal favourite.

I have to say that there is a lot to like about the runner.  He took a bit of time getting warmed up for the game in his juvenile year but came good by the end winning the Dewhurst and defeating Coventry Stakes winner, Power.  No prep run is not a real concern for me normally in the Guineas but given this is a horse who seems to need to build a momentum in his season, on the watch list.

For the Major the race boils down to two.

Hermival, 6/1,  was in the places in the English 1,000 Guineas behind Camelot.  That day, French Fifteen (the likely best French 3 year old) occupied a place too.  That form is rock solid and for me is as good as we have on offer here.

The more intriguing horse is Takar.  7/1 is probably a bit skinny but it is interesting that Murtagh has abandoned Born to Sea to get on this horse who has some form to find but was an impressive winner of a listed contest.  That is a great advert and despite the price being skinny, I would want this one on side.

Finally, 16/1 shot Daddy Long Legs must not go without a mention.  If an ill fated visit to the Kentucky Derby (pulled up) can be put behind him, he looked a classy horse to the Major.

On balance, I want this year to have a tuned up animal with three year old race experience.  I want good form in the book too.  This leaves me with Hermival and Takar and of the two, Hermival is the more compelling at 6/1 (BetVictor).

Haydock Tips – The Temple Stakes

Is there anything in the Temple Stakes that is going to trouble Black Caviar this summer?

The short answer is no – She is a machine and over any distance under a mile I consider her the worlds finest racehorse.

So what could chase her home?  Well Bated Breath is a fine animal.  He opposes Tangerine Trees here who got the better of him in France by a short head.  I also think his July Cup defeat is the best form in this race though it is worth noting that Bated Breath did come last season needing his first run.  For this reason alone I would normally overlook him.  However, Roger Charlton has his string in fine form so he might have the animal better tuned today…. mmmmmm.  Bated Breath is a half brother to Cityscape – This is a classy animal.  Granted, he might be better over 6f but I still think he is the best horse on the track today.

Sole Power is the main threat who will also benefit from conditions.  We are likely to get some hair-raising pace here with Tangerine Trees and Swiss Dream known to be the explosive sorts.  On Good to Firm ground this could be very quick early quarters.

I would fancy Sole Power or Bated Breath to benefit from that sort of race, just which to pick….

Although he might drift further, I am going to stick with the best horse in the race and that in my view is Bated Breath… 4/1 Hills, have a slice.

Tips for The Eurovision Song Contest 2012

Yes you read correctly, tips for the Eurovision from the Major.  Now I know a lot of my regular readers who consider themselves elegant gentleman would scream horror at the thought.  Yet, the Major feels a need to provide a tip for Eurovision for those who like their Saturday evening entertainment to be easy on the mind.

This is a 26 runner event and on trends, later draws seem to help.  Sweden are clear market favourites at 5/4 – No chance we will back that!

Russia have entered a pair of grannies from the Ural mountains.  The one toothed cute appeal may be the sort of bizarre act to claim a win but not for the Major.

The British entry Humpadinck is 20/1 and frankly I would not take 2000/1.  Britain is not popular anymore in these contests, something we should take great pride from.  Plus, drawn in trap 1, we have literally no chance – Words I do not use lightly.

The Major is going to suggest you have a slice of Serbia at 10/1.  The Balkan countries have the most powerful voting block of all and they are ideally drawn.  The money has been coming all week and so I think an investment is required!

Tonight may dinner beal fresco. Enjoy a cold beer as the last of the suns rays warms your face.  At this stage of the evening, a summers day is pleasant, I grant you.  Have good company around and be merry.

Courage, roll those dice.