LAST WEEKS PROFIT 72% (table of bets below*) – The Majors strong form continues (SOME TREMENDOUS VALUE TODAY) and unlike those dastardly bankers he takes not one jot for himself merely leading my crusade for merry adventurous punters across the land to put a blow across the old enemies cheek. As in the bible, the turf accountant duly turns and allows us to have a pop at the other one too, marvelous.
The weather has perked up in sunny Pershore although the ground is dead and sodden which must be a consideration in our selections today. Action aplenty and opportunities as ever…… Load the heavy cannons and let us plunder….
Firtsly on track. A great card at Goodwood awaits and the 3.40 is a race where heart rules the head. Date with Destiny is the sole progeny of the only racehorse that made me cry, the great George Washington. After successfully backing George to win the 2,000 Guineas, I fell in love with the champion who had his own way of doing things. That day he planted his feet and refused to enter the winning enclosure, a horse of his own mind but one who when on song demonstrated a trmendous turn of foot. Retired at three as a classic winner, a lucrative stud career awaited (I am considering this option myself) but sadly, the pencil lead was not very effective and at 4 he went back into training. I remember O’Brien saying he was having a hard time getting Georges mind back on racing after a winter covering some of the finest racehorses. Tragedy struck in the states when at a sloppy Belmont Park, George collapsed and instantly died on course. I have grown attached to many horses I have backed, some of far lesser quality than George but none as personable.
Date with Destiny, George Washintons only progeny runs in the 3.40 – Sadly for the promising looking filly, it carries my money; in respect of her sire. Cochabamab at 10/1 is the ew head selection which will carry none of my cash.
Drunken Sailor in the 2.30 looks a good bet at 11/8 given the shaky opposition. Who knows whether Golden Sword will ever recapture some of that younger form but the rest look shaky and anything greater than double your dough looks a good bet on this one.
What a dissapointment that the Celebration Mile, 3.05, only draws four entries – What is that about. This Group 2 contest with £56k for the winner will see Main Aim go off as favourite. On form and ground it is a worthy favourite but with Poets Voice an easy to back 15/8, I am tempted to see if it drifts to 2s or 9/4 before backing. Frankie is the master of taming these small field events, get in front, slow them at the turn, steal 4 lengths at 2 and a half furlongs, see you in the winning enclosure!
The 3.20 at Newmarket is one of those where form is expected to be overturned. In this case Bated Breath who was held by Dafeef is expected to overturn today in receipt of 3lbs. I have to say that these scenarios always throw up great value. People get carried away with the narrative of bad luck and reversing it today. As such, Dafeef is appealing at 4/1. More intruguing is Caledonia Princess at 40/1. OK this is a step up in class entirely but this horse just completed the hat-trick and of Kyllachy is likely to be a significant improver at 4.
In the most valuable race of the day, there is a 1/2 favourite in Zebedee and it is notable that Richard Hughes goes to Newmarket, 3.55, instead of booking Goodwood rides. However 12 two year olds, most handling soft for the first time and a 1/2 favourite makes this an each way race and not one to get stuck into the tasty looking good thing. I like Child Bride at 16/1 – Paul Colehas his horses in good order and it intrigues me that this horse who did not handle the dips and turns of Bath last time out is styepped up in class by his trainer.
Now for the football. The early kick off offers some value in opposing Arsenal simply because Sam Allardice loves bullying Wengers southern softies! He did it last year and they will get more of the same today. I like the both teams to score market with Paddy Power which is just under evens but I am not going to get excited by this one.
One I love is Evertons price to win at Villa. Villa look in free fall and the players do not look enamered playing for the caretaker boss. The 6-0 thumping and dropping out of Europe surely have taken a mental toll and 2/1 Everton to win is unbelievable value. Surely in these circumstances the toffees would come away with three points more than 1 in 3 times? My advice on the villa manager was given a little time ago.
Millwall at evens to beat Coventry is fair. I fancied Coventry to get beaten at home by Derby last week and while they won, they were not the better team. I think their position is false. Marlon King joining the camp cannot be a positive can it? Not a massive bet for me but I like this Millwall team.
Berwick have scored ten goals in their last two outings so a win today at 17/10 is absurd pricing – Get stuck in!
Finally it is Challenge Cup Final day. Leeds have beaten Warrington three times this year and to win today at 11/10 I think is a great price – Could be a great final – Have something on the Rhinos.
The nap is Everton 2/1 NAP NAP NAPPETY NAP NAP.
I wish you betting success and dearly hope that your bookmaker need close his doors while he visits his bank to complete your payout. Let him know the Major sent you…… and we will return again!
By the way, the Major is running the Birmingham Half Marathon – Follow the link to follow the training.
Last Weeks Results*
|Glor Na Mara||Ev||£1.00||£0.00|
|All Blacks -3||Ev||£1.00||£2.00|