Tag Archives: mister matt

Thursday Cheltenham Tips

Good evening from the Major who writes a brief post from the sofa ahead of tomorrows Cheltenham action.

My company sponsors the Mares Bumper and a cohort of my colleagues will be in attendance having a tremendous time.  As for I, sadly I shall not be part of the fun but I have set about writing the card up.

Thursday Cheltenham Tips

The ground condition is going to be a key consideration in selections.  Good to soft today and blustery dry overnight conditions suggest it might ride fast so a proper late Spring horse is what I am after.

Course form is often a good starting point for assessing horses at Cheltenham.  The undulating left-handed course with a stiff finish does not suit all horses.

The opener is a nice listed novice event in which none of the horses have the above requisite form but a number will be comfortable on the ground.  Those include Doyly Carte, Ma Filleule, Flying Phoenix, Hidden Identity, Shesa Bear and Springinherstep.

Ma Filleule is going to attempt to give weight away to all – The Warwick graded winner was midfield in the Martin Pipe but should have a race like this in her.  Henderson had a winner here with Whisper yesterday and I would think this girl has a great chance of getting him off to a flyer here too.    The chief danger I see is Hidden Identity who had Shesa Bear well beaten at the end of 2012 but I would fancy the Henderson horse to do the business at a price of 7/4.

2.35pm is the Mares Novice Chase – I have been a fan of Violin Davis for some time, she has been getting better and better but anyone watching her last race would have to admit she was fortunate to continue the sequence as Nataani seemed to have the better of her when falling late on.  Good ground is no problem and the Majors favourite jockey is aboard in Noel Fehily.  Looks vulnerable.

I prefer Tara Rose who may prefer better ground and goes for the local yard Twiston Davies who scored a big priced winner yesterday.  9/2 is a fair price.

The 3.10 is a difficult handicap puzzle and there is one the bookies are undecided over tonight.  Scholastica is 7/1 and 14/1.  I quite like this horse and think it is pretty well handicapped.

I do prefer 6/1 Eleven Fifty Nine though – Honeyball has had another good season and probably has an improver on his hands here now he steps this girl up in trip.

In the 3.45, Midnight Chase is going to be a popular pick, he loves it round Cheltenham and good ground is what he needs.  That said, he has been a bit below par… any return to peak form and he is a danger to all – While you have to excuse a poor season, he has been campaigning on soft ground which is less suitable.

Cedre Bleu incredibly got his nose in front on the line last time but looked to be fading and while a strapping sort, I am not sure this rollercoaster course will be the making of him.

Galaxy Rock is a serious horse around Cheltenham too and as long as a heavy fall at the festival has not dented his confidence, he could run well.

I am opting for 10/1 shot Ashkazar who won this race for me last year at a skinnier 6/1! His profile was the same, poor season and then rocked up and won this.

In the 4.20, Paul Nicholls runs Sam Winner who is 9/2.  Nicholls said Sam Winner was his best hope at the festival with a handicap mark from god!  He proceeded to flop very badly in the Pertemps burning the Majors and many others money and hopes.  No doubt the horse is quirky but there is some decent talent in there waiting to come out!

In the 4.55 I opt for Mister Matt at 10/3 who fell when ahead in this last year.  I think he has an excellent chance although the favourite Kie looks a battling sort.

The Endsleigh Insurance Mares bumper is a tricky betting puzzle.  Plenty of first time winners whose form is difficult to assess… Fabrika is the Henderson bumper horse, that yard won this last year and this girl looked OK when winning last time out.  Fairytale Theatre looks one with lots of promise for Team Ditcheat and at a forecast 9/2, I think a bet is in order.

The 6pm Chase and I am willing to take a chance on Let’s Get Serious who at least boasts some course form.

Courage, roll those dice.

Tips for Newton Abbot, Galway and 66/1 Glorious Goodwood Tips!! Yep, it is the Saturday Sermon

Good evening from the Major who writes the Saturday Sermon on a Friday evening for a change.  The evening is pleasant, children are deposited in Birmingham and the good lady accompanied me down to the local pub for dessert after dinner.

I think Buick has made the right call and Izzi Top is a strong selection for the Major

Pendleton was an inspirational victor on the track today and joined the club of swelling medallion clad olympians instilling pride in the nation.  I am surprisingly into the Olympics – Please do not take my views on the opening ceremony as indicative of my attitude towards the sporting endeavour.  Pendleton is the Olympic spirit and far more inspirational to a generation than a few chimneys arising from the ground. My favourite medal to date though has to be rowers Katherine Grainger and Anna Watkins.  The former is competing in her fourth olympics with the prevailing three offering silver medals – Always the bridesmaid.  What emotion for her to power on to glory, a nation willing her on.  Steely determination.  There is desire and then, there is sheer force of will, the latter is majestic in it’s beauty.  It was a wonderful moment.The Major had the pleasure of visiting Goodwood this week and seeing the legendary Frankel, I use that word with consideration.

Goodwood has been ticked off the list for the Major and it is a meeting I heartily recommend.  The track is as stunning as you conceive from the description and TV coverage.  It is not unlike a picture of hills you might draw as a child, each arcing from behind the last into the distance.

The facilities are fantastic.  Queues are minimal, everything clean – The denizens of this corner of the world sport good teeth, good shoes, clean clothes and impeccable manners – Good show all round.

Frankel took his race like you want a 20/1 shot to.  The buzz around the course is what captures you.  You know you are in the company of pegasus and you feel honoured.

Today we have the conclusion of Glorious Goodwood and the Major has tips from there, from the Galway festival and from Newton Abbot.  To the sports my loyal followers, my band of brothers.

The Major has been on the cold list – It is time to daub thy war paint and prepare for battle.  Stay the course.

3.45 Newton Abbot

Newton Abbot has some decent races and I wanted to start the Saturday Sermon tips with a tip in the feature race – the SIS Handicap Chase.

It is definite summer jumping ground down in Devon and this is a major factor for the Major.  Most of the horses are equipped for this but it is still a must.  This is a very good race and there are some decent form horses turning up here.

Spock was a reasonable chance for the Market Rasen Plate last time out and fell before we knew his real chance.  He likes it here too but I am not sure this is far enough to see the best of him.

Mister Matt won really well last time and on a flat tight track in these conditions, his from the front style could be an advantage.

Passato looks to be on a high enough mark although his last win at Stratford showed that there is fire in the stomach.  Overlooked.

The one the Major is going to tip is Rio Gael who is available at 8/1 this evening.  His recent run on the flat needs to be intepreted as a lung opener as it was dreadful but going back to his Aintree (similar track) form in May, you have to admire the form – He quickened up very nicely that day and I fancy a decent run again.

4pm Galway – 7f Handicap

The 7f handicap feature of the Galway Saturday card is a little cracker.  With the ground coming up so soft, I really do have a strong fancy in this race.

Bubbly Bellini has been moving forwards like a train this season, progressing two and a half stone to date.  The last time the horse was tried over this distance it seemed to work a charm and the Major is betting that the progress is not done. 7/1 is a fine price for my Galway tip.

Glorious Goodwood Tips – The Nassau Stakes

The Group One event from Goodwood goes off at 3.15pm and there is a quality line up of fillies and mares to go to battle.

The horse in focus for the Major is Izzi Top who has won subsequent Group 3,2 and 1 races.  While none of the field has experience of winning at Goodwood, with its rolling unudualting ground, at least Izzi Top has performed well on similar tracks.

Gosden is having a wonderful season and with confidence ebbing from young Buicks presence (who has got off The Fugue to ride Izzi Top), I am backing my tip all the way to Nassau victory…  7/4, have a slice.

3.55 Goodwood – Stewards Cup Tips

Hoof It bucked a trend last year winning off a significant mark and the Major is preferring to ignore and go back to type for a Stewards Cup tip.

The ones I like are Jamesie who ran a blinder in the Wokingham but had an ill fated draw – Neil Callan is one of my favourite jocks too.

I am sure Bodog are wrong about Grissom offering 66/1 – This horse might be back up the weights a bit but I am not sure it will stop him from being involved and having young Barzalona booked is a bit rare.

May your dinner be taken in rare circumstances.  As a loyal follower you placed the lucky fifteen that was blessed by Jesus – Izzi Top, Bubbly Bellini, Rio Gael and Grissom.

Courage and roll those dice.