Tag Archives: ogee

The Majors Saturday Service – Stratford, Newbury, Lingfield Winter Derby, Dubai World Cup – The Hatty Special!

Good morning fair punters of Britain and welcome back to the Majors Saturday Service.  No mid-week posts due to alternate priorities I am afraid – I have also have no chance to update the stats in the menu bar either – I will get round to this and it will make the numbers look a little less rosy.  That said, we are having a good March and we shall continue today.

Tragic scenes from the electrical accident which struck Newbury earlier in the season

I was asked to have a look at the Stratford card and so I have a couple I fancy there.  Newbury has some decent jumps action but Lingfields winter derby card and the action from Meydan is where the best racing is to be had.

There is also competitive international football and cricket, a trove of riches to be plundered.

The Major is relentless in quest, never shaken by the multitude of misfortunes that befall a brave punter warrior of this tribe.  Sharpen that pin-like needle spear young man, daub paint, wide-eyed, we stare into the possible, it is an echoing chasm of expectation and dashed fears of fallen gamblers.  To the sports and hold that steeley gaze.

Stratford ground is good and this could be quite significant.  We are definitely looking for horses with a bit of pace who can take advantages of firmer conditions around this flat track.

The first race to catch the eye is the 3.30.  Himrayn has a nice win at Market Rasen under his belt but a 10lb rise might be a bit steep although third that day has gone on to perform well.  The favourite Piment D’Estruval has a 3lb rise for a recent win to contend with too but if anything that seems harsher.

It leaves for me Phoenix des Mottes who is one of three who has won on the ground. It needs to put in a clean round.  Putting a line through the last run which was on unsuitably boggy ground, the february form of 4th is not bad, that was a 3l defeat to Handtheprizeover who went down to Meet the Critics in a better race at Newbury next time out. 

Have a win bet on the Phoenix at 9/2 with Skybet.

Happy Birthday to Charlie Wheelwright whose family have sponsored the race! 

2.55 Stratford – The Seller

As always the Major brings you the big races and the seller at Stratford!

Claimant makes the most appeal in a decidedly trappy event.  Only Hypnotic Gaze has any winning form in this seller but at 2/1 it makes little solid appeal.  I am hoping the headgear can have some positive impact and we see a better run – 10/1 Betfred, have an each way piece if there are no drop-outs resulting in a 2 place payout.

Newbury 3.25 Handicap Chase

Some decent horses are looking for a return to form in this race.  At Newbury I am often looking for a sound jumper and most here fith the bill.  Possibly Scots Dragoon is an exception and is overlooked. although he is one of a few that will like the good ground 

The others are Maktu, Ogee, Briery Fox, Winterwood and possibly Rey Nacardo. 

The only risk outside of these is Theatre Dance whose trainer is sizzling hot at the minute and this is a classic falling through the handicap horse – A revival could mean a big run for the money – not for the Major though.

Winterwood gets the line because he ran 48 hours ago!  This is probably a bit of a big ask for Rey Nacardo who fits many of the other criteria I was looking at.  That said 6/1 Boylesports is a fair price and he is taken as the tentative selection over a disappointing Maktu and Ogee who might find the fences a bit stiff.

5.35 Meydan – Dubai World Cup

Classy stuff.  Twice Over has had the misfortune of a shocking draw which is a shame because surely Cecil has the preparation nailed this year.  Twice Over has been in Dubai for some time…. shame but overlooked (good luck Martin!)

The Major gives another chance to Gio Ponti who is no doubt high quality and although the synthetic surface record is not great, it disguises some very good runs.  The lack of a prep race is not a concern at this level.  12/1 with Corals is a huge price – Get stuck in.

On the sports fields.

The Major is a big fan of 10/3 for Charlton to get a win at Bournemouth.  Both of these teams are suffering a dive in form.  It is well publicised that Chris Powell had a classic honeymoon period after which he lost 8 on the bounce for Charlton.  Bournemouth are missing Eddie Howe though and I fancy Bradley Wright Phillips a real danger at this level.  With the cherries having lost their last 3 too, 10/3 seems massive for Charlton to pick up the points – Get stuck right in.

At the prices I would back England in the cricket (7/4) and leave them in the football for Wales (8/1).  Football – Wales will make it a tight game and the move to appoint a new young captain could prove inspirational.  Cricket – England have been disrupted by injury this tournament but seem to play at their best when the pressure is off.  Not many are expecting anything other than a loss and I think Strauss may surprise a few.

The Hatty Special, named in honour of a new follower on Twitter (@tdl123) is a lucky 15 for Phonex Des Mottes, Claimant, Rey Nacardo and Charlton.

Tonight, dinner will be pasta, nice and simple.  Cook it with a little fish.  A sancerre to accompany.  Eat out, entertain that haughty sort you have had your eye on.  Two bottles in you will break the guard, the Major is sure.

Good luck followers.  Courage and shuffle the cards.

Another Magnificent Sporting Weekend for the Major – Cheltenham Tips

Well it is Saturday, the coffee is gurgling away and we have yet another superb weekend of sport to consider.

Following a heavy, but marvelously enjoyable, day at Cheltenham in dampness, financial losses and booze, the Major shall solve some of the puzzles from the track, pitch and ring for your delectable consideration.

Lets start as usual with the football.  Hearts make a super bet north of the border as they travel to St Johnstone.  The latter have significant injury problems and although Hearts are inconsistent, 6/4 is a price that more than makes allowances.  Have some.

What will happen when West Ham entertain Blackpool is anyones guess.  There is value in the 3 goals or more market at 8/11 and I would recommend a small stake on that.  West Ham are not a good team and whatever quality issues they have, Blackpool do play an honest attacking game.  My main concern with recommending the sea-siders at a tasty 3/1 is the sense I get that Holloway has his finger hovering over the self destruct button.  Clearly he is a talented manager and fantastically entertaining too.  He plays up his West Country bumpkin image.  I just wonder whether at times his insatiable appetite for the limelight would be better curbed against focussing on getting the best from his players. 

Norwich look a good bet with Victor Chandler to get maximum points from their trip to Reading.  Like many championship teams, Norwich are capable of promotion if they are able to mount a sustained run.  16/5 is a great price and is lengthened by Norwich’s failure to win in three.  Bear in mind that they are 5th, admittedly in a tight table, just 2 points clear of todays opponents who are 10th.  Take a slice.

I think Stoke could beat Liverpool.  I must admit to being shocked that Liverpool overturned Chelsea on Sunday and there is definitely something amiss at Stamford Bridge.  When their coach and club legend, Ray Wilkins left earlier this week it suggest to me something behind the scenes is going wrong.  Therefore I am going to maintain my view that Liverpool are pretty poor with the exception of Gerrard and a back to form Torres.  Liverpool have not won at Stoke in the last few seasons, it is a tough place to go to.  I think the reds will be happy to sit back as is their style and Stoke may make them pay.

Despite Sky trying their damnedest, I cannot accept that Harrison is anything other than Haye Fodder tonight.  This is not a fair fight, it is a joke.   Harrison was contesting TV circuit boxing contests last year and if we are basing a new-found ability on that then we should examine our minds.  Haye is a serious heavyweight and has beaten serious heavyweights, 22 from 25 times by stoppage.  He will have no problem winning by stoppage tonight.  3rd and 4th rounds are both 9/1, have a taste of that and then pile in at 1/3 that Haye will win before they count the scores.

On track we have the Paddy Power Gold Cup – Normally an annual pilgrimage for the Major and a close friend, this year, due to a house move, I shall be relying on Channel 4 racing.  As for a bet, well I have a strong fancy.  while you need to be wary of Great Endeavour representing Pipe, whose fathers name adorned the trophy an incredible nine times, I have to say that 7/2 Long Run is incredible.  At the festival last year, Long Run disappointed by running third.  At that very moment I was metres from Nicky Henderson who was watching the race with a group of associates many of whom recognisable.  The mood when he finished third told its own story.  A little bit like my pre Arc Workforce 13/2 tip, Long Run was not expected to lose at last years festival and it looked a clear shock to connections.  This was Frances top novice and the stable (who are first-rate) really think this is a star.  They have been working hard to eliminate jumping errors.  The only reason you can see 7/2 is that there are other good horses running and Long Run is prone to a mistake.  I think he will win coming away with minimal urgings from Sam Waley-Cohen.  Poquelin helps by taking top weight.  Catch Me as an Irish Raider could go well for last years winning trainer.

Grade 1 entrant Berties Dream can fight out the finish of the 1.20 with Chicago Grey (9/2 and 11/2).  At the prices, I like Berties Dream at 9/2 the most – Win bet advised.

The 3 and a half mile handicap (1.55 Cheltenham) is a real puzzle and I have lines through many but cannot separate my leading contenders easily.  The one I like the most is Ogee, just.  There is a chance Ogee (9/1 generally) will have developed more from 6 to 7, particularly in the jumping stakes.  Ogee is an out and out stayer and I expect a decent run – The third in the William Hill last year looks like good form to me.  One day Zacharova will run a good race but it won’t be carrying my wager.

I know one of the owners of Two Kisses who runs in the Cheltenham 12.50 Triumph Hurdle trial.  This is the best company the horse has run in but 40/1 is a touch generous.  My idea of the winner is Sam Winner at 9/2 for Nicholls.  Good luck to Two Kisses though, hope she comes home safely and successfully.

For those needing a late night wager, Serious Drinking in the 9.20 at Wolverhampton is the best 10/3 shot you will find.  This horse has run in snatches previously and got going at Kempton late last time out.  I have had it on my watch list and advise an early bet, if The Major is right it will be 9/4 at the off and will find improvement for the step up in trip.

May your punts be blessed and proven virtuous and wise.  Consider the Major your guide, but your shall pull the trigger.

I think the best bets about are Long Run, Hearts, Berties Dream and Haye by Stoppage.  The NAP is Hearts who have been priced at 6/4 by a madman on the verge of reality.

I hope your dinner is accompanied by more than the water I am consoling my aching head with.  I just hope that my hangover has not effected my judgement.  If you are betting today, stake more than you planned.   This may sound irresponsible but trust me, its more fun.