Tag Archives: poquelin

The Saturday Sermon – Cheltenham Tips….. Load the Cannons… two 20/1 shots for the Paddy Power

Good morning from Defford where the Major greets the new day like souls awakening.

Yesterdays Cheltenham tips were mediocrity at best, Uncle Junior paid a 6/1 winner and a second from Haventascoobydo at 8/1 drew the mildest of profits.  Suburban Bay could have made the day a superb one but fell when travelling strongly in second, three out…. ah the tribulations.

Billie Magern for the Major..... 20/1 shabash

The last race saw Grand Crus plant himself as a credible alternate to Long Run in the Gold Cup picture.  His jumping was assured and with main rival Cue Card fighting for his head throughout, Grand Crus looked the business.  Very exciting chaser.

The last few weeks have been barren times for the Major so even a day of such modest profit is a relief.  Perhaps the tide is turning.  At moments like these I am drawn to think of the boys holding the square at Thermopylae or the gallant 44th shedding their claret on the hill at Gandemak.

As Kipling wrote ‘ If you can force your nerve and sinew, to serve your turn long after they have gone, and so hold on when there is nothing in you, except the will which says the to them ‘hold on!’

Stay the course followers.  The Cheltenham card….

1.20 JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial

The first of the feast from Cheltenham.  What a tremendous day of racing.  To those on course, Mr Cherry, Mr T Smith, Hathaway, Zac, Mr Lyons et al, the Major wishes you the best of luck.  Empty some satchels.

The two french imports dominate the market and it is clear that they are two well fancied novice hurdlers this season.  Of the two preference would be for the Henderson horse Ozeta.

At the prices though 15/8 the pair, the Major is going elsewhere and I have decided to take a chance on the improving Secret Edge at 9/1.  The listed win at Wetherby reads just fine and there is more to come.  British obstacle experience is a boost and let us not forget that Alan King has won this race with the fine racehorses Franchoek and Katchit in recent years.  Secret Edge could well have more to offer……

Load the big cannon.

1.55 Handicap Chase

The money has been pouring in for Hennessy (Is this a Pricewise horse, I do not have the paper this morning!), backed into 8s from 12/1.  That looks significant being a Ferdy Murphy inmate, he is well capable of readying a gamble.

The money on Betfair looks one way and I forecast 6/1 at the off.  Someone will be eating steak if this comes in.

I think though that the Nicholls charge, Promising Anshan deserves a big punt.  At 5/1 it is leading the market and the Major still thinks there is value there.  Surely this one will improve for the step up in trip.  The Aintree form, in behind the implausibly well handicapped Exmoor Ranger, looked more than adequate and he was probably not fully tuned up that day.  With normal improvement, this one should be involved at the foot of the hill.

I am interested in the Ditcheat team as they have started the season strongly.

2.35 Chelthenham – Paddy Power Gold Cup

Here we are at the feature race of the day and it is an absolute cracker.  Figuring out the puzzle is made harder by the generic ground conditions but the Major has figured an angle into two at big prices and is ready to lay for your delectable concern my Paddy Power gold cup tips before you.

Poquelin will be fancied as we always see his best form at Prestbury but not for the Major.  The normal profile for the winner is sub eleven stone but from a big name trainer.  Only one 9 year old has won in the last ten years, none older, and so it is an improving sort in a top class yard we want.

Reve de Sivola will win a big race one day but he won’t be carrying my money when he does.  He travels beautifully and like David James can look superb but is prone to walking through the odd fence which he manages with alarming regularity and tends to time it for when the Majors hopes are at their pinnacle.  I have given up on this one and will wait for the day he returns at a massive price!

There are two 20/1 shots I am willing to back.  There are lots that almost made it and the discarded from the shortlist include 16/1 shots Araldur and the De Bromhead raider Loosen my Load.  The two for me though on balance are….

The first is Billie Magern.  At 7, there could be plenty of improvement to be seen from this Twiston-Davies horse and we must remember that the trainer has won two of the last three Paddy Powers.  Billie Magerns two and a half mile win last month looked very decent.  That was course form too which ticks another box.  Although up 7lbs, it makes no technical difference as he is a fistful of pounds wrong in the handicap anyway, have a slice.

The other is Divers, a Ferdy Murphy horse who ran a shocker on reappearance last month.  That is insignificant for this one though as this was always going to be the aim and a handicap raising barn-storming reappearance was never going to be on the cards.  Also racing from the bottom of the weights, officially 4lbs wrong, is not a concern and I really do feel a big run could be in order.

Back both each way (watch the terms) and a reverse forecast will have you sending the Major brandy (A decent Hennessy please)!

3.10 Handicap Hurdle

A very simple and elegant solution here, back the 8/1 shot Oscargo who looks to have a great chance.

Lightly raced, Nicholls and Walsh, 8/1 and decent Chepstow form which should translate well to here (also a rolling left handed tough course).

Have two slices, send me the postcard.

3.40 Cheltenham – Novice Handicap Hurdle

There are a number of horses to catch the eye in this and Edgardo Sol is sure to be popular with the same Nicholls / Walsh combination as Oscargo in the previous.  While that one looks very well handicapped, it is a 14/1 shot that the Major is going to tip.

Walden Prince has been racing very respectably in Ireland and has now joined a new yard.  I think this is an interesting start for the horse who is match fit.  There was plenty to like about his second last time out as the winner looks very decent.  A replication of that form entitles this one to go close.

4.10 Novice Chase

If Restless Harry translates his useful hurdle form to the chase obstacles, he will take all of the beating and at 13/8, I do not think it is a prohibitive price.  He has the look of a chasing type and the Major would not put you off.

Offering that up as a Cheltenham tip might be foolish.  I like to see novices jump before getting involved but today, for Restless Harry, I make an exception.  Should win well.

If you must get involved with the England game, bet 0-0 at half time.  It has that feel to the Major.

May your dinner be delightful and served by a fine-looking sort.  Let the quarry see the roll of notes but try to be subtle, else you appear crass.

Courage, roll the dice.

The Saturday Sermon – Tips for the Charlie Hall Chase, Wetherby, Ascot and The Premier League

Good morning from sunny Defford where the crisp morning brings gold-plated betting opportunities to whet the appetite and remind you of the sheer goodness of sporting challenge.

The beautiful Time for Rupert...... 7/2 shabash

The Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby, a decent Ascot card, some nice Newmarket races and good football too.  Autumns abundant harvest.

The Major has an unholy interest in serial killers.  I have always been fascinated by their motive and process and among the legion of evil killers there are some fantastic tales.

My favourite would be Mr Holmes of the USA who killed dozens in a purpose built hotel designed to accommodate visitors to the Chicago Worlds Fair.  The building he created had sound proofed, air locked rooms that would suffocate guests and other rooms where gases could be flooded in to kill the occupants.  Secret chutes would dispatch bodies to the cellar where he would dissolve them / dissect them.

He also like to collect life insurance policies for his deceased.  He even persuaded his friend to partake in a ‘fake death’ insurance scam, only to actually murder him and collect anyway.

His hotel was an incredible building, sadly now demolished, it was labyrinthine.   Holmes employed multiple builders during construction so no one person apart from himself knew the true layout.  There were corridors leading nowhere, doors that opened onto walls and secret rooms with dark purpose.

Today, we shall attempt tot escape our own enemies maze of trickery.  We shall seek truth and light.  To do this we must discard that which is distraction and devilment.

To the sports…….

The Charlie Hall Chase – Wetherby

This is a cracking renewal of the Charlie Hall with top class Nacarat seeking a second win but facing in Diamond Harry and Time for Rupert, two genuine Gold Cup Hopes.

If this is the quality we can get used to for the Charlie Hall, I am sure it will be a grade one in years to come.

Diamond Harry has won all five of his seasonal reappearances and so you have to respect his record fresh.  I am not convinced that should be the predominant factor, I would want to select the class horse first.

Poquelin has probably got the best form in the race although I am not convinced about him stepping up to 3m.  That said, if he is going to get 3m, Wetherby is probably the place to do it.

the selection though is Time for Rupert.  He is a genuine stayer and with Nacarat in the race, there will be pace to aim at.  Like Nacarat, Time for Rupert will not be inconvenienced by the good ground and at 7/2, I think we will see some class today.

3.00 Ascot – Listed Hurdle

This is a tidy listed hurdle and two horses meet the criteria for the Major.

Via Galilei is the Pricewise horse so sadly the early silly prices have dried up.  Laddies are still 9/1 though and I think that still represents value.

The other I think may improve for another year of maturing is Third Intention.  Connections know where they will be with this horse and so it is interesting to see him entered at this decent level.  8/1 is fair enough.

Back both horses, win only.

1pm Newmarket – EBF Fillies Maiden

Winter is coming when racing kicks off at 1pm.  The Newmarket fillies maiden can go to Coplow.

Hannons exploits with juveniles need no selling and reading Richard Hughes note, you have to be confident that Coplow will turn a bitterly disappointing appearance last time out into a win today.

4/1 gives plenty of scope for a hefty wager, load the big cannon.

3.55 Newmarket

You have to fancy Tactfully the Godolphin horse to take this at 3/1.  Her impressive maiden win has been well and truly franked and this was a race that was taken last year by no less than Blue Bunting.

I think Al Zarooni is unleashing a good one here and 3/1 will look terrific value at 4pm.

To the other sports…….

Chelsea are the best 7/10 shots I have seen in a long time.  Beating some poor teams does not make a recovery and Arsenal have payed poorly in some of those wins.  Chelsea have better quality and home advantage and I have them 4/7 shots on my book, this is a steal and should underpin any mutiple selections.

Sunderland v Villa sounds like a low scoring game to the Major but I fancy Sunderland to edge it.  Villa were not great even with the full complement of players against West Brom and Sunderland were no better at Bolton.

That is all from the Major this week.  Make sure you put the horses in a lucky 15, it feels like the right thing to do….

Make sure dinner is relaxed and sumptuous.  Take the lively one you have been eyeing up….. As ever, tip well and allow generosity to be repaid times over….

Luck to you, shuffle up the cards.

Midweek Horseracing Tips – A couple from Cheltenham plus tips for The Nell Gwyn Stakes at Newmarket – The Majors Wednesday Selections

Nell Gwyn.

Now far be it for the Major to criticise Charles II but old Nell was hardly a looker, you could have done better your majesty.

Shabash!  Thanks to a recent rich vein of form, the Major is having the best month of the year so far. 

Cheltenham has a card tomorrow that includes a graded race, there must be a couple of money making opportunities….

Good ground is a consideration, the track is likely to ride fast. 

3.55 Cheltenham Grade 2 Silver Trophy sponsored by Matersons

Poquelin is an odds on favourite for the big race of the day and it is clear to see why.  Based on his festival run, he has the form in the book and going for the champion trainer with Ruby over to ride, Pokey will be all the rage.  Cleanish jumper, fairly reliable, course and distance winner in December in a better race.  His handicap mark of 170 means he is the only horse to race off his proper mark.

What is not to like.  All of this is accounted for in a 4/6 on price.

The Major seeks a bit of value elsewhere though. 

Regular followers know that the Major has a soft spot for horses with good form in the books where I can make a case for some sort of recovery.

The way this race shapes I simply do not think Holmwood Legend or De Boitron who both showed decent Cheltenham festival form are classy enough to trouble Pokey.

One that fits a profile I like is Copper Bleu.  Let us not forget that this is a Jewson winner.  In receipt of a stone and a half on ground he will like and with the admirable Richard Johnson on board…. 10/1 is a fair price.  Take a slice and put it in the reverse forecast with Pokey if you feel brave.  You know what to do.

Lets leave Cheltenham and have a look at the big race at HQ.

4.10 Newmarket – The Nell Gwyn Stakes

HQ kicks off the Craven meeting with a lovely card including the group rated Nell Gwyn Stakes.

I am a fan of selecting flat horses at this stage of the season who have had a prep run.  Fitness both physical and mental is more assured.  That said to win a Nell Gwyn you need a touch of class.  Those that have the suitable class are Sing Softly, Maqaasid and Sweet Cecily.

The favourite is Sing Softly, an O’Brien trained horse who boasts the best form having won a listed race in April at the Curragh on heavy ground.  Here lies the problem.  Sing Softly has never run on ground with the word good in it, let alone firm.  The stallion record does not fill you with confidence either. 

I am not saying the 11/4 shot cannot win but I prefer to look elsewhere.

A few trainers have been sending out early winners but surely the early season form of the Bailey yard needs noting.  They have had 5 winners from 9 runners in the last two weeks.  He sends out Strictly Pink with Cathy Gannon on board who seems to be a go to jockey (35% strike rate in last two years).  Interesting thrown in at this far superior level but surely going to be outgunned. 

The one the Major settles on is Ladies are Forever.  8/1 is a good price for a horse with sharp sprinting form in the book from a decent 2yo cv.  It will not mind the ground. 

Sweet Cecily could be an improver at 3.  Elshabakiya looks short of the required form. 

5.05 Cheltenham Novice Chase

The third midweek horseracing tip sees the Major return to Prestbury Park.  There is a half decent novice chase in the penultimate event.

It really looks like it is between Adams Island and Balthazars Gift.   

Of the two, the Major is going to side with Adams Island.  I cannot help but feel that the Captain Chris form is stronger than anything Balthazars Gift offers.  Tipping up Adams Island is also partly due to the return to the saddle of A P McCoy.  He is 29% for this trainer, it looks like a serious run is planned.

Magical Legend is not without chance.

May your bets be blessed by the good lord of gambling.

Cheltenham Day Three – Horseracing Tips for World Hurdle Day – 12/1 and 10/1 winners this week already KAAABOOOMMM!

A solid two days of Cheltenham reviews and tips and the Major’s followers are in 40% profit.  Day two looked victorious for the enemy until Cheltenian won the bumper well, a 12/1 selection for the Major (14/1 was available widely at the off).

Load the big guns, it is World Hurdle time

Sizing Europe looked stunning but you could run that race again and it wouldn’t carry the Majors money.  Carlo Brigante was an easy winner too and visually looked good. 

As usual all of my bets are recorded in the tabs at the top as is a summary of performance by month.  March is now rolling along gloriously!  You can follow the Major on twitter @tdl123 or look in the left hand menu to sign up to the email alert service.  Always free, amateur and slightly unhinged, the Major lays his racing soul bare.

World Hurdle day tomorrow.  We have reached half time in the battle.  It is time to pull out the big guns, we want winners.  Load up the big cannon young man with grape-shot, draw a bead on thine enemy.

Happy St Patricks Day to all Irishmen – Good luck to you today.

The Jewson

Noble Prince has been twice defeated this season by Arkle third, Realt Dubh.  While it is early to tell, I suspect this years Arkle was not a vintage and thus, this form does not add up to too much.  Last years festival win was very solid though and on good ground, of clear interest.

The market leader, Wishful Thinking won a hurdle in fine style out here last time, in one sense a rightful favourite.

Robinson Collonges has had some time off which might not be a bad thing.  His defeat in December at Cheltenham was poor, he looked a bit workman like before ploughing through three out and weakening quickly.  I think this can be forgiven and it is his run from November 2010 that catches the eye.  In it he fell, but not before putting all of the field to bed and certainly looking like he had the eventual winner covered. The horse that took advantage of the fall was Wishful Thinking.  This makes the 6/1 generally available tonight a must bet.  Ruby doing the steering is a big plus given he might need to be nursed into one or two fences.

The Pertemps Final

This is an intriguing puzzle with a number of interesting runners. 

Duke of Lucca is a reliable sort but surely not feasibly weighted for this. 

I have always liked Pause and Clause and this seasons form has been a disappointment. He has certainly performed better hurdling that chasing, 33/1 is a fair price for one that could go well.

Kayf Aramis is on a fair mark and is bidding to take this for a second time after victory in 09.  It is a tough horse who is hard to pass.  Not for the Major but 22/1 is fair enough.

The win Lush Life got at Cheltenham in December was good.  A previous defeat of Menorah at Ascot, looks much better.  You can put a line through the dreadful run at Sandown latest where the horse needed work from the farrier at the start.  14/1 for Henderson and Geraghty is a terrific price.  This would be the Majors bet of the day.

Chartreux also looks a well handicapped sort for the Pipes.

When it boils down, I suggest two each way plays.  Lush Life and Pause and Clause.  There is a bit of heart in the second, the first looks a stand out bet, go long, large, heavy and fast.

The Ryanair

After running well yesterday in the Champion Chase, I cannot see Somersby winning.  He has the class and the Ryanair would have been the Majors choice if he was mine.  Two Grade 1s in two days though is surely too much, if he is not scratched I wouldn’t want to be on.  The same applies to Captain Cee Bee.

J’y Vole has been the Majors selection a few times but this is probably a bit too hot for him.  8/1 has place claims only in the Major’s view.

It would be fascinating to see Voy Por Ustedes back in top form.  He is ten and so the change of scenery to Hendersons yard could spark some change.  Voy Por has plenty of Cheltenham form, 14/1 is a huge price if you could guarantee a decent run, who knows if the horses heart is back in it.

Tartak is also of interest at a price.  20/1 is simply too much for a horse with track form.  He benefits from being the stable star and uncharacteristic errors last time out can mean we can put a line through that run.  Good ground not a problem.

I am not sure the favourite Poquelin will appreciate the firmer conditions he will get tomorrow.  5/2 is just too short.

Albertas Run is certainly a key player.  6/1 for last years winner who will love the ground, of significant interest.  This is the Majors selection with a saver on Tartak each way.

The World Hurdle

With ground going against Grand Crus, his current drift to 3/1 could continue.  Contrary, Big Bucks has been trimmed back into evens (long gone is the 11/8 the Major took, sorry for crowing).

Grand Crus looked a real star in the making when clearing away from the field in a Grade 2 here latest.

I cannot see anything other than a Big Bucks win.  He looked at his best at Newbury this year and this is surely going to be the hat-trick effort of World Hurdles.   I think he will go off clear odds on favourite so get stuck in now.  For those who don’t like evens, I would say that the reward of a win on Big Bucks is far more than just doubling your money, it will be a huge thrill to be on a true champion with a huge crowd cheering him in.

Zaynar could go well if suited by a step up to 3 miles – This former champion hurdle contender is not exactly solid material but on best form is at least in the right league.

Fiveforthree will be popular and I expect it to go off shorter than 14/1.  The Major tipped it up when winning on reappearance but I just don’t think it is good enough in this company.

Sometimes, keep it simple – BIG BUCKS on BIG BUCKS! ‘C’mon Ruby!’

Byrne Plate

Ferdy Murphy served us well with a winner in the last on Tuesday and I suspect Hollo Ladies has been a planned horse for the Byrne Plate for some time.   Raced over probably unsuitably longer distances, the horse which looked progressive at two miles has had a mark of 139 preserved.  Dropped back in trip, I expect, or at least vaguely hope, for a massive run.

Venetia Williams has taken this race in three of the last five runnings and so you have to fear Quartz de Thais.  Not for the Major though, have a chunky slice and then it is Hollo Ladies all night long!

The Kim Muir

Another tricky handicap with plenty of big priced hopefuls.

I am not sure that the handicapper had the measure of Mostly Bob penalising the horse 11lbs for a Doncaster success we never found at at Kempton where the first fence bustle and subsequent fall robbed us of a better assessment of the true ceiling, difficult to assess but of interest to the Major with Dickie Johnson in the saddle.

Galaxy Rock is the other to catch the eye at 18/1 – Good ground is a plus and he is lightly tried over fences, Jonjo is due a decent winner.

Junior has a good chance too, I just feel the price is short enough.  As for the tip, take a slice of Mostly Bob each way and thank me later.

Good luck on day three.  Whatever happens bet like a man possessed.  Win or lose, ensure you have invested slightly more than you should.  After all what is it all for if you have not a palpitating moment.  We know better than those who bet with minimal stakes, fearful of loss.  How their fears have mastered their enjoyment of life.  Stake more than you should.

Sleep well.  In the morning I suggest eggs benedict, fresh orange juice, good coffee.  Take the papers early, have a constitutional walk, take the air.  It will be a good day.

Another Magnificent Sporting Weekend for the Major – Cheltenham Tips

Well it is Saturday, the coffee is gurgling away and we have yet another superb weekend of sport to consider.

Following a heavy, but marvelously enjoyable, day at Cheltenham in dampness, financial losses and booze, the Major shall solve some of the puzzles from the track, pitch and ring for your delectable consideration.

Lets start as usual with the football.  Hearts make a super bet north of the border as they travel to St Johnstone.  The latter have significant injury problems and although Hearts are inconsistent, 6/4 is a price that more than makes allowances.  Have some.

What will happen when West Ham entertain Blackpool is anyones guess.  There is value in the 3 goals or more market at 8/11 and I would recommend a small stake on that.  West Ham are not a good team and whatever quality issues they have, Blackpool do play an honest attacking game.  My main concern with recommending the sea-siders at a tasty 3/1 is the sense I get that Holloway has his finger hovering over the self destruct button.  Clearly he is a talented manager and fantastically entertaining too.  He plays up his West Country bumpkin image.  I just wonder whether at times his insatiable appetite for the limelight would be better curbed against focussing on getting the best from his players. 

Norwich look a good bet with Victor Chandler to get maximum points from their trip to Reading.  Like many championship teams, Norwich are capable of promotion if they are able to mount a sustained run.  16/5 is a great price and is lengthened by Norwich’s failure to win in three.  Bear in mind that they are 5th, admittedly in a tight table, just 2 points clear of todays opponents who are 10th.  Take a slice.

I think Stoke could beat Liverpool.  I must admit to being shocked that Liverpool overturned Chelsea on Sunday and there is definitely something amiss at Stamford Bridge.  When their coach and club legend, Ray Wilkins left earlier this week it suggest to me something behind the scenes is going wrong.  Therefore I am going to maintain my view that Liverpool are pretty poor with the exception of Gerrard and a back to form Torres.  Liverpool have not won at Stoke in the last few seasons, it is a tough place to go to.  I think the reds will be happy to sit back as is their style and Stoke may make them pay.

Despite Sky trying their damnedest, I cannot accept that Harrison is anything other than Haye Fodder tonight.  This is not a fair fight, it is a joke.   Harrison was contesting TV circuit boxing contests last year and if we are basing a new-found ability on that then we should examine our minds.  Haye is a serious heavyweight and has beaten serious heavyweights, 22 from 25 times by stoppage.  He will have no problem winning by stoppage tonight.  3rd and 4th rounds are both 9/1, have a taste of that and then pile in at 1/3 that Haye will win before they count the scores.

On track we have the Paddy Power Gold Cup – Normally an annual pilgrimage for the Major and a close friend, this year, due to a house move, I shall be relying on Channel 4 racing.  As for a bet, well I have a strong fancy.  while you need to be wary of Great Endeavour representing Pipe, whose fathers name adorned the trophy an incredible nine times, I have to say that 7/2 Long Run is incredible.  At the festival last year, Long Run disappointed by running third.  At that very moment I was metres from Nicky Henderson who was watching the race with a group of associates many of whom recognisable.  The mood when he finished third told its own story.  A little bit like my pre Arc Workforce 13/2 tip, Long Run was not expected to lose at last years festival and it looked a clear shock to connections.  This was Frances top novice and the stable (who are first-rate) really think this is a star.  They have been working hard to eliminate jumping errors.  The only reason you can see 7/2 is that there are other good horses running and Long Run is prone to a mistake.  I think he will win coming away with minimal urgings from Sam Waley-Cohen.  Poquelin helps by taking top weight.  Catch Me as an Irish Raider could go well for last years winning trainer.

Grade 1 entrant Berties Dream can fight out the finish of the 1.20 with Chicago Grey (9/2 and 11/2).  At the prices, I like Berties Dream at 9/2 the most – Win bet advised.

The 3 and a half mile handicap (1.55 Cheltenham) is a real puzzle and I have lines through many but cannot separate my leading contenders easily.  The one I like the most is Ogee, just.  There is a chance Ogee (9/1 generally) will have developed more from 6 to 7, particularly in the jumping stakes.  Ogee is an out and out stayer and I expect a decent run – The third in the William Hill last year looks like good form to me.  One day Zacharova will run a good race but it won’t be carrying my wager.

I know one of the owners of Two Kisses who runs in the Cheltenham 12.50 Triumph Hurdle trial.  This is the best company the horse has run in but 40/1 is a touch generous.  My idea of the winner is Sam Winner at 9/2 for Nicholls.  Good luck to Two Kisses though, hope she comes home safely and successfully.

For those needing a late night wager, Serious Drinking in the 9.20 at Wolverhampton is the best 10/3 shot you will find.  This horse has run in snatches previously and got going at Kempton late last time out.  I have had it on my watch list and advise an early bet, if The Major is right it will be 9/4 at the off and will find improvement for the step up in trip.

May your punts be blessed and proven virtuous and wise.  Consider the Major your guide, but your shall pull the trigger.

I think the best bets about are Long Run, Hearts, Berties Dream and Haye by Stoppage.  The NAP is Hearts who have been priced at 6/4 by a madman on the verge of reality.

I hope your dinner is accompanied by more than the water I am consoling my aching head with.  I just hope that my hangover has not effected my judgement.  If you are betting today, stake more than you planned.   This may sound irresponsible but trust me, its more fun.