Two bets yielded no results yesterday and a lesson for the Major. The emirates game was clearly not enough to inspire a change in the mental well being of the Chelsea ranks who were outplayed for the whole game and deserved losers. Positivity did not disgrace us at Southwell but finished 4th, one place out of the money…. we shall go back today in a much richer target environment.
RACING IS BACK!!! PROPER RACING. Leopardstown hosts a card of top quality racing including the Grade 1 Lexus Chase.
Although racing goes ahead at Leopardstown, there was an inspection to ensure the frost was out and to look at the state of the ground. It is heavy and Leopardstown is like Chepstow, conditions tend to be at the end of the spectrum, this will be very heavy and we need proven horses in the ground and horses that will make the trip.
The Lexus goes off at 2.35 giving us 4 races to look at to see if the thinking holds up.
Having read the Pricewise views, I have to say that I cannot understand why he thinks so many of the market leaders will be inconvenienced by the heavy ground. The stats suggest that J’y Vole, Joncol, Cooldine and Pandorama will all enjoy the mud. His selection Money Trix, which will be crashing in price as I type is the one I feel may well be put off by it. The Major is no Pricewise but today I feel he will have done me a big favour as more often than not I agree with his basic premise even if our selections are different.
I want to keep this simple, J’y Vole and Cooldine are the two I think have the ability and will enjoy the conditions. They are both trained by the great man Mullins who is in decent touch (9 places from last 16 runners).
I think Cooldine is probably the one Mullins wants to win it with. The services of Paul Townend are up top, I think Cooldine will stay 3m in the heavy and that the opposition is good but not that good. Having two from the same stable as the ones you fancy can be difficult and we need to watch the markets carefully but Davy Condonholds a strikerate of 6% riding for Mullins where Townend is 21% – I fancy Cooldine is the player and 4/1 is available, have a slice but maybe wait and see what happens to the price first, I think he might touch 9/2 and for a fifty pound stake that pays a further £25.
Thegreatjohnbrowne looks a transformed horse now going over the bigger obstacles and I did not expect there to be prices of 11/4 (sportingbet) today – I recommend a healthy investment on this one who just keeps improving over the larger obstacles. He won’t be inconvenienced by conditions either.
On the football pitches, I would take a few bets today – Stoke to beat Fulham being the first. The Cottagers looked woefully short of ideas against West Ham and they are looking a tired outfit. Murphys best days are well behind him and Duff while able to produce the occasional piece of skill is certainly no consistent threat. Corals are evens which is a bonus price, have some.
There is a touch of 11/2 that Blackpool can win at Sunderland and I like that. I would expect Sunderland to have enough to beat them but after all, they have two ways of playing. Blackpool fear noone, including Sunderlands strong home record – At 11/2 I am siding with the sea siders.
At the risk of painfully putting good money after bad, I suggest Everton to win at West Ham is an 11/8 steal. West Ham are still poor in my view, it just so happened that Fulham were poorer. They won’t enjoy the soft defending that Fulham offered and Cahill, Arteta, Saha and co can cause problems.
Bournemouth have sold their two key strikers and don’t look the same outfit that have been performing so well in League One – 6/4 that MK Dons win on the South Coast is worth a touch.
May your bets be blessed with sweet success and the wedge you take from the enemy pay for your extravagant New Year Plans. Don’t say this is the Majors comeback….. he was never gone!