KABOOM! Another Winner – FRIDAYS SUPERSTRIKES!

I wish I could take credit for the recent run of form.  Yesterdays selection although an unusual pick for me was on the back of a piece of strong information rather than my usual ratings / form / card based value selections.  Cannot knock it though, Alegralil hosed up by 13 lengths.  More info from the same source today, not as stand out as yesterdays but I must point out that this source is FOUR FROM FOUR!!  All bar one odds against. I have simply copied in the wording I receivedd to let you make up your own minds!

I’m going light today I think …. but here goes ….
 
1.40 fontwell parlesotho is expected to win, schooled well and got the ground it wants

only 2/1 though…..

2 others expected by connections to go in today are Tertiary 1.30south (short one again!) and Highly Regal 3.30south

Yesterdays Placed at 8/1 – HOT ONE TODAY!!

Yesterdays selection placed at eight to one returning a dissapointing profit.

Today, information from a regular source has hotly tipped up a 6/4 shot in ALEGRALI in the 1pm at Towcester.

Splashing money down on novice hurdlers is not normally my style but the information is apparantly solid and this is expectected to do very well.

The same guy gave me three shorties yesterday that all went in, dissapointingly, none carried my wagers as I was unable to get online.

WEEKEND CASH ON THIS ONE – LOAD THE WEAPONS, SELL THE SILVER, RAID THE PIGGY, SEE IF YOU CAN GET 13/8, SMASH INTO IT, LETS BLOW THIS BAD BOY, CHARGE MY CANNON AND READY MY STEAD AND PISTOL, EMPTY THE SAVINGS ACCOUNT – 10 STAR NAP

Wednesday Selections

1pm Chepstow – I am also hot on Strategic approach in the first. On better ground or if fitness was assured then Pearlysteps and Inchando would be of interest but soft at Chepstow might be an understatement and race fitness may be the major factor.

 

Winning STREAK!

1.15 Newmarket – Micky P

This is priced as a real outsider – Micky P finished its Windsor C5 debut down the field but it was not a complete disgrace and ran on at the finish – Everything in front had experience and the winner went on to be 2nd in a listed race and is now rated 97. 2nd time out improver? – 80s+ just seems wrong – must have a fighting chance.

8.20 Wolves – Wanchai Whisper / Koo and The Gang Wanchai tends to edge right under pressure in races and could go well after win at Kempton last Thursday. Jockey is a good claim and 1/1 with the horse, definitely two ways of running but a candidate.

Koo and the Gang – OK, Southwell rides very differently but back in May, KATG achieved a 2/11 and 1/14 on AW. The 8/11 in September is the only other AW run and that followed the horse falling out of th gates. What is eye catching is the stallions record. 5 wins and a further 3 placed at 5f (from 17 runs) – 5 wins, further 4 placed (from 15) on AW. Tom Eaves is 18% for Ellison too. Good luck

Lingfield Thursday

Lingfield – 2.40

Plenty of horses could come and win this but few have AW experience.  Fine Sight has run well on good and probably could transfer the form, out of Cape Cross, on the shortlist.

Lay Claim seems well fancied but on breeding  (2 from 25 on AW) (1 from 30 as 2yo) I have to see it as a small place lay.

I am backing, SHAMIR, not disgraced on AW, may need a couple of underperformances to win but looks a decent W+P proposition to me.

Good Luck

Wednesday Fancies

In the 2.35 at Muss, I would go for Mason Hindmarsh who seems to be improving but I am put off by the surface, I think it will run better back on firmer.

Night Orbit is my selection in the 2.45 at Nottingham. It has performed well over hurdles and the jockey booking is eye catching (4 from 8 for trainer), fingers crossed it can translate that form back to the flat, Betfair currently price it 11.5, was hoping for a bit more, maybe you can get 9/1 at the bookies – Arab League looks the chief danger

The Banker was a NON RUNNER – 2 More on the watchlist

The banker at Brighton was a non runner but there are two more on my watchlist reappearing today:

Alfie Sherrin - 1.55 Chepstow – This one looked an outstanding prospect at point to point level – Then put away since February by the top trainer nicholls who knows how to handle one.  Novice hurdling over a mile and a half, 2/1 – Load thy weapons and thank me later!!

Madam Macie 3.45 Newbury – This is in on times – It looks good on its debut win at Catterick anyway but the time iot ran was faster than the race involving more senior horses on the same day.  I suspect a number of horses finishing behind will turn out winners and this one could be better than debut.  Listed company today so quite the step up 33/1 looks tasty – HOLIDAYS!!

Long Time No Post – Banker TODAY

It has been a long time since the last post due to work commmitments but I have kept up a solid betting streak and have had quite a profitable time of late.

A horse has come up on the watchlist and I thought it would be a good opportunity to get it posted up here:

LOAD THE GUNS! 

2.30 Brighton – JAMES BARRYMORE

Been waiting for this one to reappear – Recent c&d effort is respected and think it is potentially well handicapped – 6s on BF I just snapped up the last 2.4 place money available – Hopefully some more will come up – good luck.

Kieran Fallon Returns – Blowout or Banker???

Sorry for the lack of posts this week, I have been on my sick bed.  Am now feeling marginally better.

Kieran Fallons return to race riding at Lingfield today has been well trodden ground for some months.   Following his acquital from charges of race fixing in the high court, Fallon was banned for 18 months, by the BHA, when tested positive for cocaine. 

Without doubt, Falllon has been one of the most talented jockeys on the circuit in the last decade and was the Ballydoyle top man too.  Does the talent remain?  We shall see.  He has chosen a low key return on the all weather but that does not dent the interest levels one bit.

For some time, I have thought his first ride back would be an utter stich up and I was certainly not alone in that thought!  His return to action comes in the 2.20 Auction Maiden Stakes at Lingfield on Rare Malt and there stands to be a lot of Fallon Factor cash down.

Fallon has some of the best connections around and I think trainers will be eager to support him.  Without doubt, his rides are going to be overpriced in the next few weeks, especially if he bags a couple of early winners but overpriced does not mean they will not win.  I would have priced Rare Malt at 6/4 but today a shade of odds on was all you would get! 

This is exactly the type of favourite I would have fancied.  It has seen the race course twice already, arguably showing improvement on the original run at Kempton last time out.  If you watch the Kempton run, the horse certainly looks to have a degree of talent and it struck me that in the last furlong the penny seemed to drop.  It would have made the notebook without the Kieran factor.

The opposition are largely unknown with many not having seen the racecourse yet.  I loved Taper Jean Girl at the RP forecast 20/1 but not at the 5/1 2nd favourite it turned out to be!  Gifted Apakay is of interest at a price.  Well bred and from a stable that can have one ready too – Tom Queally gets the ride on the 10/1 shot.

So here is the dilemma and where I sit.  Fallon is talented, has solid connections and would love a win on his return for many reasons, some ego, some to get more and better rides, some to help rehabilitate with distanced fans, certianly to announce the return of the King.

Some people might speculate that for the exact reason I think Fallon is booked on for the win and that Rare Malt is a 15lb better horse than anything shown yet is the exact reasoning for layng the horse!  If you happened to believe Fallon was mixed up in race fixing (which usually involves well fancied horses losing rather than long shots winning as you only have one jockey to sort out!) then this is the ideal race to make a bucket on.  The interest and therefore the money on it will be high.  Could this be a classic, horse missed the break, held up, fought for it’s head, wouldn’t settle, jockey lost iron, hit trouble on bend, stayed on strongly, 4th.  Conspiracy theories work both ways.

My conclusion is that this race is indeed a stich up and I won’t let a free money opportunity pass me by.  What type of stich up is it? A 1st or 4th for Rare Malt?  My view, FIRST.  Fallon without doubt has a huge streak of confidence / arrogance and I think todays race has free money all over it.  I cannot see any other result today than Rare Malt winning and another close up of Fallon in those Resevoir Dogs shades under the headline, ‘Return of the King’

Advice: Full Bank RARE MALT 2.20 Lingfield 1.94

 

Plus if you fancy any other Fallon horses today, take the prices, if one goes in, the bookmakers will be running for cover.

More Shame on The Major – Ades Spider Senses

The Major continues to hang his head in shame after another losing round of selections.

Ades NAP yesterday which I was too bury to post went in at 6/4 and he has another relative shortie today: Casino Night 3.40 AYR – Currently trading at 3.95.

The Ayr race is pretty much the best on offer today which says something about the general quality on offer.  I oppose the selection with the better priced Faithful Rider.  This horse is unexposed on turf but has decent enough form anyway.  The claim of Frederick Tylicki’s 3lb is useful as he is excellent value for it.  Currently competing for the apprentice riders championship, Tylicki is neck and neck with David Probert who himself shared the title last year.  I would fancy Tylicki to get it and think his leading supplier of rides, Fahey may be more powerful than Proberts Balding backers.

Currently trading at 6.8, The Major thinks faithful ruler may upset the Ade jolly.