1.15 Newmarket – Micky P
This is priced as a real outsider – Micky P finished its Windsor C5 debut down the field but it was not a complete disgrace and ran on at the finish – Everything in front had experience and the winner went on to be 2nd in a listed race and is now rated 97. 2nd time out improver? – 80s+ just seems wrong – must have a fighting chance.
8.20 Wolves – Wanchai Whisper / Koo and The Gang Wanchai tends to edge right under pressure in races and could go well after win at Kempton last Thursday. Jockey is a good claim and 1/1 with the horse, definitely two ways of running but a candidate.
Koo and the Gang – OK, Southwell rides very differently but back in May, KATG achieved a 2/11 and 1/14 on AW. The 8/11 in September is the only other AW run and that followed the horse falling out of th gates. What is eye catching is the stallions record. 5 wins and a further 3 placed at 5f (from 17 runs) – 5 wins, further 4 placed (from 15) on AW. Tom Eaves is 18% for Ellison too. Good luck
Lingfield – 2.40
Plenty of horses could come and win this but few have AW experience. Fine Sight has run well on good and probably could transfer the form, out of Cape Cross, on the shortlist.
Lay Claim seems well fancied but on breeding (2 from 25 on AW) (1 from 30 as 2yo) I have to see it as a small place lay.
I am backing, SHAMIR, not disgraced on AW, may need a couple of underperformances to win but looks a decent W+P proposition to me.
In the 2.35 at Muss, I would go for Mason Hindmarsh who seems to be improving but I am put off by the surface, I think it will run better back on firmer.
Night Orbit is my selection in the 2.45 at Nottingham. It has performed well over hurdles and the jockey booking is eye catching (4 from 8 for trainer), fingers crossed it can translate that form back to the flat, Betfair currently price it 11.5, was hoping for a bit more, maybe you can get 9/1 at the bookies – Arab League looks the chief danger
The banker at Brighton was a non runner but there are two more on my watchlist reappearing today:
Alfie Sherrin – 1.55 Chepstow – This one looked an outstanding prospect at point to point level – Then put away since February by the top trainer nicholls who knows how to handle one. Novice hurdling over a mile and a half, 2/1 – Load thy weapons and thank me later!!
Madam Macie 3.45 Newbury – This is in on times – It looks good on its debut win at Catterick anyway but the time iot ran was faster than the race involving more senior horses on the same day. I suspect a number of horses finishing behind will turn out winners and this one could be better than debut. Listed company today so quite the step up 33/1 looks tasty – HOLIDAYS!!
It has been a long time since the last post due to work commmitments but I have kept up a solid betting streak and have had quite a profitable time of late.
A horse has come up on the watchlist and I thought it would be a good opportunity to get it posted up here:
LOAD THE GUNS!
2.30 Brighton – JAMES BARRYMORE
Been waiting for this one to reappear – Recent c&d effort is respected and think it is potentially well handicapped – 6s on BF I just snapped up the last 2.4 place money available – Hopefully some more will come up – good luck.