Monthly Archives: October 2010

What Winners!! The Major Returns with the Best Saturday Tipping Service – ’00s% profit!!

Well what a weekend we managed – The lucky 15 put up last Saturday returned with a £15 stake earning a £287 return.  This was the Majors best result in 2010 with a monstrous profit – Allow all stresses to flow from your body, open thy online bookmaking account and in a couple of clicks we shall have the enemy running for cover once more.

Usual format, lets start with the weekends football. 

The head says that Manchester United will beat Spurs – Berba and Hernadez look a great partnership and Spurs have a poor track record against this level of opposition.  However, I am always a bit wary when unbeaten records are tested, particularly against Harry Redknapp who will have the boys up for it.  Spurs are probably too poor defensively to pose a real threat but no bet advised.

I do like the price of Man City to win at Wolves.  This could be a bit tasty with Karl Henry returning and probably up against De Jong in the middle.  Wolves look poor to me and are one of my teams for the drop – I think they are running short on ideas.  I do not understand why McCarthy didn;t use mid week at Old Trafford as an opportunity to use his first team to more positive effect.  Not only was there a confidence booster up for the winning but a quarter final spot too.  It has been a long time since Wolves last won and their goal scoring record is appaling.  Man City are organised and the 3-0 scoreline against Arsenal last weekend flattered the gunners with ten man Man City a little bit hamstrung.  I fully expect City to win at a best price of 5/6 with Victor Chandler online.  As a hedge I fancy a spread on 0-0 and 0-1.  These are 10/1 and 6/1 (VC and Laddies).  I also fancy the less than 2.5 goals market at 8/11 with Skybet.

Another struggling team in Fulham face a home task against Wigan that I think they may find tougher than the odds on prices that are up this morning.  OK Wigan are no great shakes and they threw away our 2 goal cushion when tipped up as a nap two weeks ago at 21/5 for the visit to Newcastle.  However, I think Hughes is struggling – Fulham are not scoring goals (3 in their last 5 games) and are clearing missing Zamora – I think they are real relegation material.  Wigan are not much better but they are unbeaten now in 6 and in my view continue to be slightly overpriced as those bookies remember the tankings from Chelsea and Blackpool at the start of the season – This is a different Wigan now and I suspect that 18/5 (£50 returns £230!!) will look massive later today.

MK Dons have been poor away from home which has inflated the Tranmere price to win at home today.  I still rate MK Dons and can forgive an away run that included 6 of the top ten teams.  7/4 for MK Dons with 888 and Blue Square is a very nice price considering Tranmere are second bottom and MK Dons are 7th on goal difference.  One team has amassed 20 points, the other 13 – Tranmere have only bagged 4 home goals this term in the league – They are there for the taking and our enemy has priced the MK Dons away form without consideration for the opposition – Strong win bet advised.

The other bet I urge you to take is in the Port Vale versus Crewe clash. Stan James go a stand out 4/5 that both teams score and this is a decent bet as I am sure Crewe will score and you would have to fancy Port Vale to net too.  I do fancy Crewe to take this though at 14/5 with Totesport – Although Crewe are a little way behind Vale in the league they hold a play off place and no team has scored as many as Crewe this year.  Once again they are a hot bed of rising talent – Worth a punt.

On track, we have the Charlie Hall card at Wetherby.  The Major has been in scintillating form with the horses of late – A run which regular followers know is unlikely to be sustained!  However, we shall apply the same laws of logic, physics and form and see if the lord sees fit to reward us.

The Charlie Hall is a trappy contest to figure out.  On top form I prefer Nacarat to Barbers Shop but whether either are tuned up is anyones guess, Henderson is not renowned for having them fully fit but this is the Charlie Hall and perhaps it is a good chance for Barbers Shop to claim a decent prize…. hmmmm.  I think Calgary Bay is overlooked.  The top players in the market are all aged 9 and so you would think we know all about them.  Calgary Bay on his best runs is not a million miles away and comes with two advantages – He is 7 and open to a modicum of improvement and crucially he turned out two weeks ago and will clearly strip fitter.  Henrietta can line one up well and for me Calgary Bay 12/1 each way with Skybet is a cracking bet.

3.40 Ascot – The United House Gold Cup – Take the Breeze catches the eye – Again this is a horse with plenty of potential – I would have preferred a run this season but it won on debut last and could have improvement.  I think this is the ideal trip for this horse and it is sure to be running on strongly at the finish.  There will be plenty of pace and there are simply lots of question marks over the key players – It is worth a punt but 11/2 is a bit stingy so keep it sensible.

I have a sneaky feeling that 9/1 Fiendish Flame may well run well in the 4.50 at Ascot.  He fits my liking of early season horses who have clearly had a racecourse blow – He will strip much fitter for his run over hurdles.  If Sizing Africa whom I really like too fails then I think the Flame could fill the winners spot.

Persian Snow at 9/2 is taken to be a good thing in the Ascot bumper – Take the price.

What to nap.  True dilemma this week.  I think it has to be MK Dons at 7/4.

Tonight I think it has to be Japanese food.  Sushi might be your thing, I am sure that Sake is.  I hope your ‘donkey choking’ roll of notes spills out onto the table simply bursting from an inadequately stiched pocket.  Place your bets with the fierce conviction of a man knowledeable and certain.  Have sympathy for the enemy when you tell him to cancel the private education for his first born, if he has doubt, let him know the Major sent you.

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Saturday Bets from The Major – More Profits

A big weekend for the Major who runs the Birmingham Half Marathon tomorrow.  If you have not already had the chance, please consider a donation for the very worthwhile Thomas Ball Childrens Cancer fund.

The Major is ready for action today after a marathon sleep.   The Coffee is Bolivian and a breakfast is coming together of good sausages.  Let us set about the enemy with hope in our hearts.

Last weekend the Major struck gold with Clerks Choice a 14/1 winner at Cheltenham.  Off blog, I probably gave the best set of tips out ever with a 14/1 win, 8/1 win, 5/1 win and a 20/1 place across the Cheltenham card.  Sadly none of them carried the Majors bank roll which must have taken at least 20lbs off.

The run on football continues to be unfortunate with the nap 21/5 Wigan losing their winning position with the last kick of the game….. unbelievable!

Today we shall dine finely.  Football first.

Everton could win at Spurs at 3/1 if Tottenham have a hangover from Europe where they both played away and lost.  It might not be a bad bet but the Major does not endorse it wholly.

Sven has got Leicester firing it seems – The appointment has done everything to bolster and inspire an average Leicester team who at this early stage of his tenure are probably overpriced to get a result at well disciplined Swansea – 11/4 is the general price.

Bristol Rovers have won their last two away games and this mid division outfit are on the climb.  It is an ask to get all three points from a tough Hartlepool but 11/5 (2/1 generally) is a fair price.  Have this one.

Raith is a superb evens bet – They are by far the better of Ross and I would expect a 4/6 price.  Frankly I do not understand the pricing in this – Raith have 20 points and lie 2nd, Ross have 9 and are third bottom.  Raith are in decent nick and at home.  There is a touch of 20/19 with my new friends at Unibet but more conventional bookies such as Bet 365, BlueSq and Hills go 21/20.  Load up the cannon with the heavy grapeshot.

Wigan almost did us a wondrous favour last week and the lesson I take is that Newcastle are poor.  As such I would back West Ham to win at home at 7/5 (Hills)

I prefer Bolton to Wigan at home but shall leave the money in the wallet.  I do however like Sheff Utd who are way overpriced at 5/2 to win at Doncaster who are left injury hit and vunerable.

Chelsea are awesome at home and have won every single league game to nil, including Arsenal.  So how Ladbrookes see it as evens that they win to nil today against less than average Wolves is absurd.  Consider a call to your money broker to release some of your foreign currency assets for this one.

On track, the Racing Post Trophy while exciting is a mere shadow of last weeks dramatic Champions Day showdown which demonstrated Frankel as a super horse.  Should you back him for the Guineas – Yes, He is a monster and the guineas being run early in the season will be right for him.  What about the Derby?  Less sure – I do not have stamina doubts but do think that his growing is done yet some of the other leading lights could develop into serious contenders over winter.

Todays Doncaster card is lovely.  Pricewise stole my thunder in putting up Zaidan who was a ludicrous 33/1 – Without looking I expect that to be twenties by now.  I shall sidestep that bet and advise a look at the 10/3 Casamento who has all the correct form.  Seriously good price that 10/3, could look a bargain later.  Johnny Murtagh has overlooked Seville but I am not sure if we should even if O’Briens 2yo record in Britain is in shreds this year!  7/1 each way is not the worst shout but I stick with Casamento.  I think the selection will be short on support and so waiting might see the price drift.  That said, these big televised races often turn a nasty over-round on pricing and even without support you might see little movement from the enemy who likes to trick all of us faithful warriors.

The big Newbury races are interesting and I offer Big Issue who I also suspect might be friendless before the 2.05 at Newbury.   Elzaam looks a horrible favourite in this and the 3/1 lay on a place looks tasty to me.

Richard Hughes could follow up with a quick double on Clowance 6/1 in the 2.40 at Newbury – If it is a proper good to soft then I expect a big run.

The 3.35 at Chepstow throws some interesting prospects together and the one I like is Silviniaco Conti.  Nicholls looks to have the well fired and I do like Fehily on board.  This looks set for a run I would take the early prices 4/1 Bet365.

May your fine dining be accompanied by a range of wines equal to the surroundings have a nice Brandy.  I hope you are forwarding the bill directly to enemy HQ.  Remember to save a couple of quid for the Majors charity run.

The nap is a Ladbrookes double – Raith evens and Chelsea to nil evens.  For the adventurous make it a lucky 15 with Casamento 10/3 and the 7/2 Nicholls Conti thing.

Saturday Spectacular – Bets Aplenty

Good morning fair punters of merry England.  Last Saturdays service returned a tidy profit particularly as the advised good each way thing Damien obliged with a decent second at a tasty 33/1.  62.5% profit was scored which you would have quickly blown if you followed the tipping service on the Sunday! Apologies loyal readers we shall make amends today.

Cecil John Rhodes who made his own nation once said that “Ask any man what nationality he would prefer to be, and ninety nine out of a hundred will tell you that they would prefer to be Englishmen”.  I can only think that at some times in his entrepreneurial and empire building career, old Cecil parked his bottom on a comfortable chair in the Worcestershire countryside with the bright skies and quality coffee complimenting a review of a fine sporting English Saturday.  The Majors spirits are high, let’s set about the upstart bookmaker….

Football first.  I don’t fancy Chelsea today at Villa.  The injury list for Ancelotti is significant.  The problem is that Chelsea don’t have a good record at Villa and so the 5/1 to 6/1 prices one would expect have already been trimmed to 7/2 to 4/1 on a claret and blue win.  Any decent gambler shuns hoodoo logic of bogey teams but in this case it has set the price against me, no bet advised.  If you must bet on the televised game then Victor Chandler go 10/11 that both teams score.

I love QPR, as the Championships top scorers and the tightest defenders, they sit 6 points clear and look value.  They have paid us out on several occassions and now the pricing seems to follow the early results.  In one sense this is a shame as we have ploughed this profitable team a couple of times already this year.  Today they play third placed Norwich and the time has come to advise against.  Norwich are not at all bad.  Grant Holt will cause QPR problems and 9/2 (Ladbrookes , Bet365 and Bwin) for Norwich to come away with the points is an over-reaction.  Unbeaten records have to go at some point, If this game was played times, would Norwich only win it once? I think not – Take on the magic sign.

Fulham versus Spurs is a tough call and while I think that Spurs will win, just, it makes 13/8 way too skinny for the Major.  I prefer a bet on the goalscorer market.  Bet365 offer a third odds the place on this market WITH UNLIMITED PLACES; which makes them the place to go when they are best price; so a bet on Van Der Vaart to score first each way at 8/1 pays tidely if the boy scores at any time.  Not only is he a classy midfielder who will likely be involved in set pieces, Harry has been employing him off the striker a la Tim Cahill.  Have some.

In Scotlands lowest division, Albion Rovers are taken to win at Annan at 15/8.  They have an excellent chance to take the points, fill thy boots.

Finally on the football turf, take Wigan to win at Newcastle.  The bookmaking community still price Wigan with memories of the hatful of goals they conceded in their opening two games.  They have far more quality than that and a strong young manager.  7/2 is unbelievable for a trip to St James Park.  In their last two games, Wigan have travelled to well disciplined Birmingham City and taken a nil nil before beating ill disciplined Wolves in a poor game where Wolves were ten men for most of the game.  Newcastle have lost their last two games including a home game to Stoke.  An outfit called Unibet who I have never heard of are OFFERING 21/5 on a Wigan win.  NAP NAPPETY NAP NAP NAP – They offer a new account bonus of a matched bet of £20.  That means £20 of your hard earned money returns £188.  Do not say you were not warned.

On track, this is a day for the Major.  What a card at Newmarket – No sooner than the powers of the racing for change community announce the changes to the end of the season cards and Newmarket throws up the most highly anticipated Dewhurst in a generation.

Saamidd, takes on Dream Ahead who takes on the mighty Frankel.  Saamids champagne Stakes victory arguably is the visually least impressive result and I have to admit I find his case weakest.  Dream Ahead I think might struggle more with the ground than Frankel whose clock performance was astonishing as he pummelled Group one placed opposition in the Royal Lodge – Dropping in trip is not ideal on breeding but at two, probably not a problem.  Waiters Dream will ensure a true test for the six at post and I shall not advise a bet due to pricing but shall express the opinion that the hype is true for Frankel, we will know at half two.

I like the chances of Gitando Hernando in the 3pm Newmarket Champions Stakes – He has won a grade one at this trip and his recent victory while not outstanding will bring the horse here in good spirit.

I love the Cesarewitch ever since the late hero of mine put me onto Legspinner a 14/1 winner, in his weekly column.  I very much like Sentry Duty.  Henderson has won this with similar hurdling types in the past and the draw and hussle will play to Sentry Duties hands.  Paddy Power go 10/1 with 5 places at quarter odds which is as good as any.  Avoid Ladbrookes and their 4 place policy… disgraceful.

I would fancy Clerks Choice to get a place at least in the 2m hurdle at Cheltenham (3.15pm) – I always like backing horses with summer experience against higher quality rivals on their first outing and this horse fits the bill having won far easier races at easier tracks.  With no certainty that Royal Mix and Barizan will be tuned up for this, I prefer the recent running experience of Clerks Choice.

May your bookmaker be running for the coast at 6pm this evening, clutching his passport having cleared his accounts and given you what he could.  I wish you the finest steak – Ensure the Bernaise sauce is either on the side or in the bin.  Order Barolo.

England Expects

I cannot get too excited about England being 2/11 to win tonight.  England didn’t impress me as much as they should have given the scorelines in their two ganes since the debacle of a world cup.

This team with Johnson particularly offers more threat than the World Cup flops but I think the smell of medicrity and the accompanying confidence check is rife in the England camp.

M patriotic wager will be on Johnson to take first goal at 8/1.  I fancy a saver on Crouch at 5/1 too.

More Saturday Profits (62.5%) – Sunday Horse Selections

Well another Saturday in the life of the Major and we returned a tidy profit thanks to the performance of Damien tipped up at an outstanding value price of 33/1 and finising a nice second.

France also did the business at 4/6 as you expect them to which left the usual story in the rest of the football selections.  Torquay, Charlton and Bournemouth, all tipped at big odds against prices to win away all managed score draws!  Most dissapointing was Torquay who were 3-1 up with twenty to play, as good as cash you might have thought but they conspired to concede a further two goals.

Today there is some nice racing in Ireland and an interesting hurdle at Ffos Las.  I like early season racing over the sticks, my philosphy generally is to back summer horses who have had good campaigns against the superstars who may be in need of their first run.  Firstly the flat selections..

2.45 at the Curragh and I fancy the likeable old dog Snaefell.  6/1 looks booked for a place and maybe better although a win might be tough off top weight.  Pads Smullen to offer assistance, an each way bet to nothing in my view.

There may well be a good juvenile filly to come out of the 3.15 and the one I like the profile of is the long proiced Hadrians Waltz each way 25/1 with Skybet or Boyles.  This is an impeccably bred horse (I would love to find a bookmaker to offer me a price that a classic winner next year will come from the Holy Roman Emporer bloodline).  Sadlers Wells on the Dam side – I just think this horse maybe taking a moment for the penny to drop.  She was never in her debut race finishing so far out the back to be untrue (although unfancied at 33/1) – Last time out on the artificial surface at Dundalk  it finished third running in snatches.  Well trained, Heffernan doing the steering, chances.

You can get 7/2 about Rainforest the O’Brien Murtagh horse in the 4.15 at the Curragh and why the devil not!  My concern would be the cut of the ground but at 4.20 7/2 might look mighty generous.

Ffos Las has a nice loooking class 2 contest at 4.30 with some wily old nags.  If Dishdasha decides to run a decent race again one day it could walk all over this field.  Following my rules though Rio Gael or Points of View are the two to follow with slight preference for the former as it is a more generous 8/1 – Get some each way love about that.

Limericks 2m 1f Grade 3 is down to 5 runners which is a shame.  The top two in the market dominate and despite shouldering an extra three pounds I prefer the course form of Let Yourself Go at 6/4.

The Munster National is of course the race of the day.  The two I like can be backed at double figure prices.  Paddy Pub might be well tuned up following his latest fourth, this could have been the target and a 3m Limerick test will suit – 10/1 is good for me.  Wins Now has been in decent form and 14/1 with Slippers Madden to help in a driving finish, well, what value.  I plum for the latter.

The jumps season is nearly here in full flow.  The big Newbury meeting is a stones throw away. 

It might seem an age away but maybe, just maybe Dunguib for the champion Hurdle 20/1 with Paddy Power ….. Get Geraghty on board.. This horse could still be something special.  Binocular is an absurd 3/1 lay that all day long he has had his moment.  Punjabi gave me the biggest win of my life in the 09 contest and I have the same sense about Dunguib.  He has class by the bucket load and cannot be blamed for not getting up to win the Supreme in March when given way too much to do.  People forget class easily enough.  I just wonder when after a couple of runs this year with Dunguibs cruising speed breaking good horses again whether that 20/1 will look sensible.  Especially if he has learned to jump!

Remember what Sunday School taught you…. and on the seventh day he rested, with a mug of steaming tea, a burgeoning online account and a small bet on Tony McCoy through the card.  May your nightcap be sweetened by the joy of your succesful punts.