Apologies to followers last weekend – Ipswich could only draw after I stongly advised the 6/4 price and the other advised bets didn’t do much better.
The Major is nothing if not reflective at these times and my advice is to get on Workforce for the Arc and bet like a man with bullet proof kahunas.
Workforces derby win was a record time and the fifth in the King George was too bad to be true. Connections reactions demonstrated that it was not a fair reflection of ability on the day.
Conditions will be fine and this is a poor Arc. It is a poorer race for the loss of a few horses, none more than Harbinger.
Surely Workforce could show his true colours on Sunday. 13/2 is the best price available at this moment with VC Bet – Have £20 and thank me later!!
Man City v Chelsea is a cracker of a conundrum but I did not expect to see 6/5 about Chelsea who have had a flying start. Man City still look a mess to me – I think Barry playing at left back could be exposed for pace by Anelka – The sheer confidence in Chelsea makes this a stand out bet.
Ipswich with their young gun Wickham look an absolute steal at 6/4 versus Scunthorpe – They are organised and strong away from home and should be able to take the winnings back from the seaside today.
I like the look of a rejuvenated Kilmarnock who won mid week and genuinely look up for staying up this year. 11/5 for their trip to Hamilton who do not score many goals is a great price – Perhaps the draw no bet market is a more sensible bet but the Major enjoys a gamble!
I fancy goals at West Ham where the derby atmosphere coupled with a desire to attack from Harrys team and home advantage make the ‘both teams to score’ price of 5/6 a nice touch – Get involved.
The nap is simple – IPSWICH. Roy won’t let me down – £100 is £250 by tea time and that means some of the finest Indian cuisine washed down with cool beer and a content smile.
The Saturday service has returned and I shall do my damndest to maintain the pre holiday profit streak we were on. Please remember www.justgiving.com/timothy-larden in your winnings – The Majors half marathon effort in aid of a fantastic childrens cancer charity.
Already advised this week is Rip van Winkle who you can get at 11/4 this morning. Despite the rain softened conditions, I maintain the value in this horse.
With a friend at Ascot I have had a pop at a couple there – What a fantastic days racing to attend! The 1.55 is one of those big handicaps that Pricewise loves. My best guess is Simla Sunset whose last two runs look as good as anything else. The horse has an extra year in its favour and will be exposed to an up and comer but a small stakes bet is advised. Fontley will enjoy the conditions too and support would be of interest.
Frankel is so well fancied to win the second that it is hard to oppose. I would duck this one perhaps having a small bet on Klammer at 16s if feeling like an interest was required.
The two horses that boss the market for the Group One Meon Valley at 3.05 have obvious claims but I like the look of Coolmores Together at 8/1. On breeding this horse is very closely related to Jan Vermeer a group one winner at three who developed late at two and I fancy Together could be cut from the same cloth. The fact that O’Brien targets this way gives me confidence – Have a bet.
The 3.40 is the second big handicap of the day – My tentative value suggestion is Noble Citizen as long as there is not too much rain. Side glance could be worth a second look with one of my favourite young jockeys in the boy Probert aboard.
The big one has already been advised and while I do think Mafki should win in these conditions, the value is all about the Rip especially if the ground dries further.
For a big bet, go with WAKE UP CALL (NAP) in the 4.50 at 12s each way. OK it has a mountain to climb in terms of improvement to win but this beast has gone from strength to strength.
In the last Atlantic Tiger looks the best for me at the bottom of the card and with Hills up top.
The Major suggest loading both cannons for the wake up call and may your wallet be bursting with joy come the time for evening prayer.
The Major has returned from his two week Italian refresher and ready to carry on our profitable performance. There is an outstanding bet coming in this weeks QEII.
Classic winning Mafki is as short as 4/5 on for this contest with Canford Cliffs now ruled out after a dirty scope. Although Mafki is clearly a class act, I am not sure I would want to get involved at that price.
Until dropping out Canford was odds-on. However Rip Van Winkle gave Canford a beating earlier in the year while in receipt of 11 pounds. Mafki gets less than that on Saturday and has mixed form with Canford so how can he be 4/5 to Rips 5/2? Value to me…
Rip will find the mile sharp but hs two other O’Brien horses to ensure a good clip although oddly the likely pacemaker, Air Chief Marshall, is ridden by Jamie Spencer – Strange choice if the only job is to set a fair clip for 5 furlongs….
Take the 5/2, have a little cheeky bet and leave plenty of grapeshot for the return of the Saturday morning service.
No bets today due to the majors holiday plans – following a four week profitable run, a break is just nice.
If someone fancies letting me know the result of the st ledger I would be grateful – did snow fairy run? It would be nice if dandino won it.
Next week there will be a Sunday service.